Match Analysis: Oakland Athletics vs Cincinnati Reds – Prediction
Match Details
- Date: 2025-09-14
- Time: 8:05 PM UTC
- Location: Sutter Health Park, West Sacramento, California
Game Overview
The Cincinnati Reds (74-74) visit the Oakland Athletics (69-80) featuring starting pitchers Nick Lodolo (Reds) and Luis Morales (Athletics). Both pitchers have shown strong performances recently, forecasting a pitching-dominant game.
Key Factors to Consider
- The Athletics have won four straight as underdogs against National League opponents and covered the run line in their last seven versus the Reds. The Reds have struggled after losses as favorites and trailed early in recent road games against sub-.500 opponents.
- Athletics have a strong recent run line record against the Reds, covering it in the last seven games. Reds have struggled covering run lines against AL West teams following losses.
- No major injuries reported for either team affecting starting pitchers or key lineup players for this matchup.
- Game at Athletics' home park Sutter Health Park, favoring them slightly due to familiarity and recent form at home.
- Athletics are motivated to maintain winning momentum at home, whereas Reds must stabilize after a recent slump as road favorites.
Odds and Predictions
| Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | -102 | Oakland Athletics | β β β ββ 68% |
| Spread | -165 | Oakland Athletics +1.5 | β β β β β 72% |
| Over/under | -108 (Over), -108 (Under) | Under 9.5 Runs | β β β β β 75% |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
| Market | EV Pick |
|---|---|
| Moneyline | Oakland Athletics 7% |
| Spread | N/A |
| Over/Under | Under 9.5 16% |
π₯ Best Value Pick: Under 9.5 at 16% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 16.8% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Oakland Athletics moneyline
Predicted Score: Oakland Athletics 4 – Cincinnati Reds 3