Match Analysis: New York Yankees vs Philadelphia Phillies – Prediction
Match Details
- Date: 2025-07-25
- Time: 11:06 PM UTC
- Location: Yankee Stadium, The Bronx, New York
Game Overview
The Philadelphia Phillies visit the New York Yankees for a key mid-summer MLB matchup. The Yankees are slight favorites at home with a slightly better record in the AL East, while the Phillies lead the NL East and have shown strong power hitting.
Key Factors to Consider
- Yankees (56-46) have struggled recently losing their last game to the Blue Jays but won one before that. Phillies (58-44) recently lost 9-8 to the Red Sox but took two of three prior. Phillies have a balanced 25-25 road record; Yankees are solid at home.
- Historically competitive matchups, but in this 2025 series at Yankee Stadium, Yankees hold home advantage and slight edge given pitching matchup.
- No major injury alerts reported for either team impacting starting lineups or key players like Kyle Schwarber (Phillies) and Yankees starters.
- Expect a very hot evening with light breeze and scattered clouds, conditions favoring hitters slightly but with no extreme weather impact.
- Phillies lead their division and aim to extend their competitive edge. Yankees, trailing in their division, motivated to capitalize at home to close gap.
Odds and Predictions
Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
---|---|---|---|
Moneyline | Yankees -162, Phillies +136 | Yankees | β β β β β 74% |
Spread | Yankees -1.5 (118), Phillies +1.5 (-142) | Yankees -1.5 | β β β ββ 68% |
Over/under | Over 10 (-106), Under 10 (-114) | Over 10 | β β β ββ 65% |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
Market | EV Pick |
---|---|
Moneyline | New York Yankees 3% |
Spread | N/A |
Over/Under | Over 10 11% |
π₯ Best Value Pick: Over 10 at 11% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 11.4% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
New York Yankees to win on the moneyline, cover the -1.5 run line, and the game to go over 10 total runs.
Predicted Score: Yankees 6, Phillies 4