Match Analysis: New York Yankees vs Chicago Cubs – Prediction
Match Details
- Date: 2025-07-13
- Time: 5:36 PM UTC
- Location: Yankee Stadium, Bronx, New York
Game Overview
A National League vs American League interleague matchup between the New York Yankees and the Chicago Cubs at Yankee Stadium. Both teams are competitive this season with the Cubs slightly ahead in win-loss record. The Yankees are slight favorites playing at home.
Key Factors to Consider
- Yankees hold a 53-42 record and perform well at home; Cubs are 56-39 and have a solid away record. Yankees win probability around 54-61%; Cubs about 39-46%. Yankees favored moneyline and spread.
- Recent MLB season head-to-head trends favor Yankees slightly; Yankees have a 59% win rate when odds-on favorite. Cubs underdog on moneyline with +110 odds and 30-37% winning rate.
- No major injuries reported impacting starting lineups for either team. Both teams likely to field strong rosters.
- Game played at Yankee Stadium, giving Yankees home-field advantage. Weather and conditions expected normal. No notable external disruptions.
- Midseason standings pressure, both teams motivated to maintain playoff contention. Yankees likely motivated by home crowd and position in the division race.
Odds and Predictions
Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
---|---|---|---|
Moneyline | Yankees -130, Cubs +110 | Yankees | β β β ββ 63% |
Spread | Yankees -1.5 +158, Cubs +1.5 -192 | Yankees -1.5 | β β β ββ 58% |
Over/under | Over 9 -105, Under 9 -115 | Under 9 | β β β ββ 55% |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
Market | EV Pick |
---|---|
Moneyline | New York Yankees 8% |
Spread | N/A |
Over/Under | Under 9 3% |
π₯ Best Value Pick: New York Yankees at 8% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 10.3% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
New York Yankees to win moneyline, cover the -1.5 run spread, and the game total to go under 9 runs.
Predicted Score: Yankees 4, Cubs 2