Match Analysis: New York Yankees vs Chicago Cubs – Prediction
Match Details
- Date: 2025-07-13
- Time: 5:36 PM UTC
- Location: Yankee Stadium, Bronx, NY
Game Overview
The match features the New York Yankees hosting the Chicago Cubs at Yankee Stadium. The previous two meetings in this series have been split, with the Cubs winning 5-2 on July 12 and the Yankees winning 11-0 on July 11. Both teams have shown offensive capabilities, with the Yankees demonstrating strong power hitting and the Cubs capitalizing on solid pitching performances.
Key Factors to Consider
- The Yankees have a powerful lineup highlighted by Cody Bellinger and Aaron Judge, who have recently hit multiple home runs boosting their offensive production. The Cubs have demonstrated strong starting pitching, with Matthew Boyd recently shutting down the Yankees and Cubs' bullpen maintaining effectiveness.
- Recent head-to-head shows a split with Cubs winning 5-2 on July 12 and Yankees dominating 11-0 on July 11 in Bronx. Both sides have traded strong performances, indicating a competitive matchup.
- No significant injury updates are currently reported for either team; however, Max Fried of the Cubs exited early in the last game due to a blister, which could affect Cubs' pitching strength.
- The game is played at Yankee Stadium, giving the Yankees home-field advantage. Weather and other external conditions are standard with no reported disruptions.
- The Cubs will be motivated to continue their recent victory and assert themselves in the series, while the Yankees aim to leverage their home advantage and recent offensive success to even the series.
Odds and Predictions
| Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | New York Yankees: -130, Chicago Cubs: 110 | New York Yankees | β β β ββ 65% |
| Spread | New York Yankees: -1.5 158, Chicago Cubs: 1.5 -192 | New York Yankees -1.5 | β β β ββ 60% |
| Over/under | Over: 9 -105, Under: 9 -115 | Over 9 runs | β β β ββ 55% |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
| Market | EV Pick |
|---|---|
| Moneyline | New York Yankees 3% |
| Spread | N/A |
| Over/Under | Over 9 3% |
π₯ Best Value Pick: Over 9 at 3% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 3.7% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Given the recent performances, pitching challenges for the Cubs with Fried's blister, and Yankees' powerful hitting lineup at home, the New York Yankees are favored to win this match with a moderate confidence level.
Predicted Score: New York Yankees 6 – 4 Chicago Cubs