Match Analysis: New York Mets vs Seattle Mariners – Prediction
Match Details
- Date: 2025-08-15
- Time: 11:11 PM UTC
- Location: Citi Field, Queens, NY
Game Overview
The New York Mets host the Seattle Mariners in a pivotal MLB regular-season game. The Mets are struggling recently with a 2-13 stretch while trying to leverage their strong home record (39-23). The Mariners are on a solid run, pushing for playoff contention, boasting a more potent offense and an edge in starting pitching with Luis Castillo going up against Mets' Sean Manaea.
Key Factors to Consider
- Mets have been cold recently but maintain a strong home advantage. Mariners have the better overall recent form and stronger offense (5.54 runs/game vs. Mets' 2.79).
- Recent H2H favors the Mariners with 16 wins to Mets' 8, including a 12-1 win last year. Mets have won 5 of those at home vs Marinersβ 7 away wins.
- No major injuries reported affecting starting pitchers or key hitters for either team, both lineups appear healthy.
- Game played at Mets' home park, Citi Field, which typically favors the home team. Weather and other external factors not reported as impactful.
- Both clubs motivated: Mets to end losing skid and improve standings; Mariners to continue playoff push riding momentum.
Odds and Predictions
Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
---|---|---|---|
Moneyline | Mets -120, Mariners +102 | Seattle Mariners | β β β β β 72% |
Spread | Mets -1.5 +155, Mariners +1.5 -188 | Seattle Mariners +1.5 | β β β β β 75% |
Over/under | Over 8.5 +100, Under 8.5 -122 | Under 8.5 runs | β β β ββ 65% |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
Market | EV Pick |
---|---|
Moneyline | Seattle Mariners 5% |
Spread | N/A |
Over/Under | Under 8.5 9% |
π₯ Best Value Pick: Under 8.5 at 9% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 11.2% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Seattle Mariners moneyline win
Predicted Score: Mariners 5 – Mets 3