Match Analysis: New York Mets vs San Francisco Giants – Prediction
Match Details
- Date: 2025-08-01
- Time: 11:12 PM UTC
- Location: Citi Field, Queens, New York
Game Overview
The New York Mets host the San Francisco Giants in the first game of their three-game MLB series. The Mets, holding a stronger record and home advantage, are favorites despite the Giants' capable lineup.
Key Factors to Consider
- The Mets have a 62-47 record and perform strongly at home, winning 65.8% of games as favorites this season. The Giants are 54-55 overall but have only a 47.5% winning percentage as underdogs on the road.
- Recent head-to-head data and historical matchups favor the Mets, who have better moneyline and run line success against the Giants.
- No significant injuries reported impacting starting pitchers or key lineup players for either team as per latest available data.
- Game played at Citi Field, giving Mets home-field advantage. Weather conditions expected to be neutral with no reported influencing factors.
- Mets are motivated to maintain division standing with a strong recent stretch, while Giants aim to disrupt and improve their playoff chances on the road.
Odds and Predictions
Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
---|---|---|---|
Moneyline | Mets -136, Giants +116 | Mets | β β β β β 72% |
Spread | Mets -1.5 +150, Giants +1.5 -184 | Mets -1.5 | β β β ββ 65% |
Over/under | Over 7.5 +100, Under 7.5 -122 | Under 7.5 | β β β ββ 68% |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
Market | EV Pick |
---|---|
Moneyline | New York Mets 4% |
Spread | N/A |
Over/Under | Under 7.5 4% |
π₯ Best Value Pick: New York Mets at 4% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 5.6% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Mets to win moneyline, Mets to cover -1.5 spread, Under 7.5 total runs
Predicted Score: Mets 4 – Giants 2