Match Analysis: New York Mets vs Colorado Rockies – Prediction
Match Details
- Date: 2025-05-31
- Time: 8:11 PM UTC
- Location: Citi Field, Flushing, Queens, NY
Game Overview
The New York Mets (35-22, 2nd in NL East) host the Colorado Rockies (9-48, 5th in NL West) in a matchup that heavily favors the home team. The Mets are in strong postseason contention, while the Rockies are on a lengthy road losing streak. Probable starting pitchers: Mets RHP Kodai Senga (5-3, 1.46 ERA) vs. Rockies RHP Antonio Senzatela (1-9, 6.50 ERA). The Mets are clear favorites given the vast discrepancy in team records and pitching quality.
Key Factors to Consider
- The Mets have a dominant pitching staff led by Senga, while the Rockies have struggled both offensively and defensively, averaging only 3.1 runs per game and allowing opponents to score more than 4 runs regularly. The Mets' overall performance and home-field advantage put them at a significant edge.
- The Mets are on a winning streak versus the Rockies and won the previous day's matchup 4-2. This further emphasizes their current dominance in this series.
- No major injuries reported for either team's key players ahead of this game.
- Weather at Citi Field is expected to be clear, with no adverse conditions affecting play.
- The Mets are motivated to maintain their playoff push in a competitive division, while the Rockies are struggling with morale and consistency.
Odds and Predictions
Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
---|---|---|---|
Moneyline | Colorado Rockies: +330, New York Mets: -420 | New York Mets win | ★★★★★ 90% |
Spread | Colorado Rockies: +1.5 (+152), New York Mets: -1.5 (-184) | New York Mets cover -1.5 run spread | ★★★★☆ 85% |
Over/under | Over: 8 (-110), Under: 8 (-110) | Under 8 runs | ★★★☆☆ 65% |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
Market | EV Pick |
---|---|
Moneyline | New York Mets -1% |
Spread | N/A |
Over/Under | Under 8 5% |
🔥 Best Value Pick: Under 8 at 5% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 5.5% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
The Mets are highly likely to win, supported by superior pitching, better team performance, and recent head-to-head success. Confidence in a Mets victory is very high.
Predicted Score: New York Mets 5, Colorado Rockies 2