Match Analysis: New York Mets vs Cleveland Guardians – Prediction
Match Details
- Date: 2025-08-06
- Time: 5:11 PM UTC
- Location: Citi Field
Game Overview
The New York Mets are hosting the Cleveland Guardians at Citi Field. The Mets hold home advantage, and the match attracts betting interest with moderately close odds in the moneyline market. Both teams have shown competitive form, making this a closely contested game.
Key Factors to Consider
- The Mets have a strong home record and solid pitching depth, while the Guardians have demonstrated resilience on the road. Recent performance shows slight edge to the Mets due to home field and pitching.
- Recent matchups indicate a closely fought rivalry, with both teams having won games in the current season. The Guardians won the previous game 3-2, indicating competitive balance.
- No prominent injury reports impacting key players for either side.
- Weather conditions expected to be stable, no significant weather disruptions forecasted. Citi Field dimensions favor versatile hitters.
- Both teams remain motivated to improve their standings with playoff implications, with the Mets seeking to leverage home advantage.
Odds and Predictions
| Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | Cleveland Guardians: +142, New York Mets: -168 | New York Mets to win | β β β ββ 68% |
| Spread | Cleveland Guardians: -1.5 at -150, New York Mets: +1.5 at 125 | New York Mets -1.5 | β β β ββ 60% |
| Over/under | Over 7.5: -122, Under 7.5: +100 | Under 7.5 runs | β β β ββ 57% |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
| Market | EV Pick |
|---|---|
| Moneyline | New York Mets -1% |
| Spread | N/A |
| Over/Under | Under 7.5 14% |
π₯ Best Value Pick: Under 7.5 at 14% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 14% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
New York Mets are favored to win due to the home advantage, pitching strength, and slightly better recent form. Expect a close game with a total score near the odds line.
Predicted Score: New York Mets 4 – Cleveland Guardians 2