Match Analysis: Mississippi St Bulldogs vs Ole Miss Rebels – Prediction
Match Details
- Date: 2025-05-09
- Time: 11:00 PM UTC
- Location: Dudy Noble Field, Starkville, Mississippi
Game Overview
On May 9, 2025, the Mississippi State Bulldogs host the Ole Miss Rebels in a pivotal NCAA baseball match at Dudy Noble Field. The Bulldogs enter with a stronger overall form, boasting a 29-19 record and a four-game winning streak at home, while Ole Miss comes off a challenging season aiming to improve their postseason prospects under new pitching guidance. This SEC rivalry adds intensity and competitive edge to the matchup.
Key Factors to Consider
- Mississippi State showcases solid performance with a 29-19 overall record and a recent four-game winning streak, especially excelling at home with 20 wins. Their conference performance is weaker at 10-14. Ole Miss has struggled recently, finishing the previous season with a 27-29 record and attempting to rebuild their pitching staff, which may affect consistency.
- The two teams have a deep SEC rivalry with recent games showing mixed results. Mississippi State's Connor Hujsak notably hit a walk-off home run against Ole Miss in the previous SEC Tournament, indicating closely contested encounters. The scheduled matchups in May 2025 are key for both teams' postseason hopes.
- No specific injury updates are available for either team for this match, suggesting both squads may be near full strength.
- The match is played at Mississippi State's home park, providing the Bulldogs a home-field advantage supported by their 20-7 home record. Weather or other external conditions are not highlighted as significant factors.
- Mississippi State aims to capitalize on momentum and home advantage to secure a postseason position. Ole Miss, under new pitching leadership, is motivated to turn around last season's disappointing record and aim for their first postseason since 2022.
Odds and Predictions
Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
---|---|---|---|
Moneyline | Mississippi St Bulldogs: -135, Ole Miss Rebels: 105 | Mississippi St Bulldogs | ★★★☆☆ 67% |
Spread | Mississippi St Bulldogs -1.5: -110, Ole Miss Rebels +1.5: -110 | Mississippi St Bulldogs -1.5 | ★★★☆☆ 62% |
Over/under | Over 7.5: -110, Under 7.5: -110 | Under 7.5 | ★★★☆☆ 58% |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
Market | EV Pick |
---|---|
Moneyline | Mississippi St Bulldogs 4% |
Spread | N/A |
Over/Under | N/A |
🔥 Best Value Pick: Mississippi St Bulldogs at 4% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 6% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Mississippi State is favored to win this matchup due to stronger recent form, home advantage, and momentum, with Ole Miss expected to challenge but come up short.
Predicted Score: Mississippi St Bulldogs 5 – Ole Miss Rebels 3