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Match Analysis: Toronto Blue Jays vs Seattle Mariners – Prediction
Match Details
- Date: 2025-10-13
- Time: 9:04 PM UTC
- Location: Toronto, Canada
Game Overview
The ALCS Game 2 features the Toronto Blue Jays hosting the Seattle Mariners. Toronto, with a stronger home record and favored starting pitching, faces Seattle who leads the series 1-0. Both teams have showed resilience in recent games, but Torontoβs home dominance and pitching edge position them as favorites.
Key Factors to Consider
- Toronto Blue Jays hold a superior home record (54-27) and have won key recent matchups versus Detroit. Mariners have a decent 39-42 away record but are underdogs today.
- Seattle leads series 1-0; however, Toronto has a strong home advantage and has shown ability to bounce back quickly.
- Seattleβs Woo is recovering from a pectoral injury and his bullpen status is uncertain, weakening Mariners' relief depth. Toronto currently healthy heading into the game.
- Game played at Torontoβs home venue providing environmental and crowd support benefit to Blue Jays. Weather and field conditions typical, no adverse external disruptions.
- With Seattle leading the series, Toronto is highly motivated to even up at home to shift momentum in this pivotal ALCS matchup.
Odds and Predictions
Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
---|---|---|---|
Moneyline | Toronto -134 | Toronto Blue Jays | β β β β β 75% |
Spread | Toronto -1.5 152 | Toronto Blue Jays -1.5 | β β β β β 70% |
Over/under | Under 7.5 -105 | Under 7.5 runs | β β β ββ 65% |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
Market | EV Pick |
---|---|
Moneyline | Toronto Blue Jays 5% |
Spread | N/A |
Over/Under | Under 7.5 17% |
π₯ Best Value Pick: Under 7.5 at 17% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 18% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Toronto Blue Jays moneyline, Toronto -1.5 spread, Under 7.5 runs
Predicted Score: Blue Jays 4 – Mariners 2
Match Analysis: Milwaukee Brewers vs Chicago Cubs – Prediction
Match Details
- Date: 2025-10-12
- Time: 12:08 AM UTC
- Location: American Family Field
Game Overview
This decisive NLDS Game 5 between the Milwaukee Brewers (97-65) and the Chicago Cubs (92-70) will determine who advances to face the Dodgers in the NLCS. The Brewers are home favorites with a strong season record and slightly better rest for their bullpen, while the Cubs have fought back hard to force this winner-takes-all game.
Key Factors to Consider
- Milwaukee boasts a 97-65 record with a 62.6% win rate as favorites and a strong 29-11 record when favored by -146 or more. Cubs are resilient, holding a 92-70 record but less favored in key metrics.
- The series is tied 2-2, with both teams exchanging blowout victories at home. This indicates a tight matchup with momentum swings.
- Brewers have key relievers well-rested (Uribe, Koenig, Megill) due to recent limited usage, potentially an advantage. No significant injury concerns reported for the Cubs.
- Home field advantage for the Brewers at American Family Field, plus familiar playoff atmosphere and crowd support.
- Both teams highly motivated in this elimination game; however, Brewers' recent bullpen rest and home advantage may provide a slight edge.
Odds and Predictions
Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
---|---|---|---|
Moneyline | Brewers -144, Cubs +118 | Milwaukee Brewers | β β β β β 72% |
Spread | Cubs +1.5 -180, Brewers -1.5 +147 | Milwaukee Brewers -1.5 | β β β ββ 65% |
Over/under | Over 7.5 -108, Under 7.5 -113 | Over 7.5 | β β β ββ 60% |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
Market | EV Pick |
---|---|
Moneyline | Milwaukee Brewers 2% |
Spread | N/A |
Over/Under | Over 7.5 6% |
π₯ Best Value Pick: Over 7.5 at 6% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 6.4% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Milwaukee Brewers to win on the moneyline
Predicted Score: Milwaukee Brewers 5, Chicago Cubs 3
Match Analysis: Seattle Mariners vs Detroit Tigers – Prediction
Match Details
- Date: October 10, 2025
- Time: 12:09 AM UTC
- Location: T-Mobile Park
Game Overview
The Seattle Mariners and Detroit Tigers are tied 2-2 in the ALDS, setting up a crucial Game 5. The Tigers have Tarik Skubal on the mound, while the Mariners will start George Kirby.
Key Factors to Consider
- Both teams have shown resilience, but the Tigers have been consistently strong on the road. The Mariners have a significant home advantage, however.
- Recent head-to-head matchups have been closely contested, with the series tied 2-2.
- No significant injuries reported for either team.
- The Mariners' home field advantage could play a crucial role in Game 5.
- High motivation for both teams as it's a do-or-die game for the series.
Odds and Predictions
Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
---|---|---|---|
Moneyline | Detroit Tigers: -138, Seattle Mariners: 118 | Detroit Tigers | β β β ββ 58% |
Spread | Detroit Tigers: -1.5 +140, Seattle Mariners: +1.5 -170 | Seattle Mariners +1.5 | β β β ββ 62% |
Over/under | over: 5.5 -122, under: 5.5 +100 | Under 5.5 | β β β ββ 60% |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
Market | EV Pick |
---|---|
Moneyline | Detroit Tigers -9% |
Spread | N/A |
Over/Under | Under 5.5 10% |
π₯ Best Value Pick: Under 5.5 at 10% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 10% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Tigers are favored slightly, but the Mariners' home advantage could even the odds.
Predicted Score: Tigers 3, Mariners 2
Match Analysis: Chicago Cubs vs Milwaukee Brewers – Prediction
Match Details
- Date: October 9, 2025
- Time: 1:08 AM UTC
- Location: Wrigley Field, Chicago, Illinois
Game Overview
Milwaukee Brewers lead the series 2-1 against the Chicago Cubs in the NLDS.
Key Factors to Consider
- Milwaukee has struggled as road favorites recently, losing seven of their last eight games in such situations. The Cubs have won eight of their last nine games as home underdogs.
- The Cubs have shown resilience at home.
- No significant injury updates provided for either team.
- The Cubs need to win to force a Game 5.
- The Cubs are highly motivated to extend the series.
Odds and Predictions
Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
---|---|---|---|
Moneyline | Chicago Cubs 104, Milwaukee Brewers -127 | Chicago Cubs | β β β ββ 57% |
Spread | Chicago Cubs +1.5 -170, Milwaukee Brewers -1.5 139 | Chicago Cubs +1.5 | β β β β β 74% |
Over/under | Over 7 -119, Under 7 -102 | Under | β β β ββ 68% |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
Market | EV Pick |
---|---|
Moneyline | Milwaukee Brewers 18% |
Spread | N/A |
Over/Under | Under 7 35% |
π₯ Best Value Pick: Under 7 at 35% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 35.4% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Cubs win against the spread and under the total runs.
Predicted Score: Brewers 3, Cubs 4
Match Analysis: Los Angeles Dodgers vs Philadelphia Phillies – Prediction
Match Details
- Date: 2025-10-09
- Time: 10:09 PM UTC
- Location: Dodger Stadium, Los Angeles
Game Overview
Key NLDS matchup where the Los Angeles Dodgers host the Philadelphia Phillies, featuring strong starting pitching from Tyler Glasnow (Phillies) and Cristopher Sanchez (Dodgers). The Dodgers enter on hot form with recent winning and ATS streaks, while the Phillies face pressure after recent playoff struggles.
Key Factors to Consider
- The Dodgers are 5-0 in their last 5 games and 4-1 ATS recently, showing strong home performance and resilience after losses. The Phillies have lost 5 consecutive playoff games after wins and have struggled to cover the run line in these situations. Dodgers have consistently led at mid-game points against winning teams.
- Recent season and playoff matchups favor the Dodgers, who have won initial innings and led at the 5-inning mark in most home games vs winning teams. Phillies starter Sanchez is 2-0 vs Dodgers recently, but Dodgers offense and bullpen have been effective at home.
- No significant injuries reported impacting starting pitchers Glasnow or Sanchez; both expected to start and perform well, maintaining their season ERAs of 3.13 and 2.51 respectively.
- Weather conditions are ideal (79Β°F, 0% rain, moderate wind), minimizing any external disruption on gameplay. The game is at Dodger Stadium, a hitter-friendly park that has seen 40 of 81 games going over total recently for Dodgers home games.
- Dodgers show higher playoff momentum and motivation based on streaks and performance after losses, likely to maintain aggressive play. Phillies may be under pressure given recent struggles in playoffs and chasing road deficits early in games.
Odds and Predictions
Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
---|---|---|---|
Moneyline | Dodgers -124, Phillies +106 | Los Angeles Dodgers | β β β β β 75% |
Spread | Dodgers -1.5 +152, Phillies +1.5 -184 | Los Angeles Dodgers -1.5 | β β β β β 70% |
Over/under | Over 7.5 -115, Under 7.5 -105 | Over 7.5 | β β β ββ 65% |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
Market | EV Pick |
---|---|
Moneyline | Los Angeles Dodgers 8% |
Spread | N/A |
Over/Under | Over 7.5 12% |
π₯ Best Value Pick: Over 7.5 at 12% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 14% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Los Angeles Dodgers to win moneyline, cover the -1.5 run spread, with the game finishing over 7.5 total runs
Predicted Score: Dodgers 5, Phillies 3
Match Analysis: New York Yankees vs Toronto Blue Jays – Prediction
Match Details
- Date: 2025-10-08
- Time: 11:08 PM UTC
- Location: Yankee Stadium, New York, NY
Game Overview
This ALDS Game 4 matchup features the New York Yankees at home against the Toronto Blue Jays, with the Blue Jays aiming to close the series and the Yankees fighting to stave off elimination.
Key Factors to Consider
- The Yankees have strong recent form, winning their last 5 games and covering the spread 4 out of the last 5. The Blue Jays have faced some struggles in the postseason but have key offensive weapons.
- Yankees and Blue Jays have had tightly contested recent games, with the Yankees pulling off a comeback win in Game 3, highlighted by Aaron Judge's clutch performance.
- No major injuries reported for either team; pitching rotations appear intact with the Yankees relying on rookie Cam Schlittler to deliver a strong start.
- Playing at Yankee Stadium provides the Yankees a significant home-field advantage. Weather conditions and wind at the ballpark can favor pitchers if blowing in.
- The Yankees face elimination and have strong motivation to extend the series, while the Blue Jays will be motivated to close out and avoid a Game 5.
Odds and Predictions
Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
---|---|---|---|
Moneyline | home: -186, away: 151 | New York Yankees | β β β β β 74% |
Spread | home: 113, away: -137 | Yankees -1.5 | β β β ββ 68% |
Over/under | over: -119, under: -102 | Over 8.5 | β β β ββ 62% |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
Market | EV Pick |
---|---|
Moneyline | New York Yankees -3% |
Spread | N/A |
Over/Under | Over 8.5 7% |
π₯ Best Value Pick: Over 8.5 at 7% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 8% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Moneyline: New York Yankees to win; Spread: Yankees -1.5; Over/Under: Over 8.5 runs
Predicted Score: Yankees 6 – Blue Jays 4
Match Analysis: Detroit Tigers vs Seattle Mariners – Prediction
Match Details
- Date: October 8, 2025
- Time: 7:08 PM UTC
- Location: Comerica Park
Game Overview
The Detroit Tigers host the Seattle Mariners in Game 4 of the ALDS, with the Tigers trailing 2-1 and needing a win to extend the series.
Key Factors to Consider
- Both teams have shown strength, but the Tigers have a favorable pitching matchup with Casey Mize starting. The Mariners have a strong offense led by Julio Rodriguez and Cal Raleigh.
- Seattle won the regular season series 4-2 and has a 6-4 record in their last ten games against Detroit.
- No significant injury reports for either team.
- Home field advantage for the Tigers could be a factor, but the Mariners have shown resilience on the road.
- High motivation for both teams, with the Tigers fighting to stay in the series and the Mariners seeking to close it out.
Odds and Predictions
Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
---|---|---|---|
Moneyline | -112 vs -108 | Detroit Tigers | β β β ββ 59% |
Spread | +1.5 -184 vs -1.5 150 | Detroit Tigers +1.5 | β β β ββ 62% |
Over/under | Over 8.5 -106 vs Under 8.5 -115 | Over 8.5 | β β β ββ 58% |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
Market | EV Pick |
---|---|
Moneyline | Detroit Tigers 4% |
Spread | N/A |
Over/Under | Over 8.5 3% |
π₯ Best Value Pick: Detroit Tigers at 4% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 4.6% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Detroit Tigers to win
Predicted Score: Detroit Tigers 6, Seattle Mariners 4
Match Analysis: New York Yankees vs Boston Red Sox – Prediction
Match Details
- Date: October 2, 2025
- Time: 12:08 AM UTC
- Location: Yankee Stadium, Bronx, New York
Game Overview
The New York Yankees host the Boston Red Sox in a critical matchup, with the Yankees favored across the board. The Yankees have been on a hot streak, winning their last five games, while the Red Sox have won two of their last five. Recent form and head-to-head performances suggest a competitive game, but with the Yankees' current momentum, they are likely favored in all markets.
Key Factors to Consider
- The Yankees have been performing exceptionally well, winning 5 of their last 5 games. The Red Sox have been less consistent, winning only 2 of their last 5.
- Historically, matchups between these teams are often intense and closely contested, but recent trends favor the Yankees.
- No significant injury updates that would impact the game's outcome.
- The game is being played at Yankee Stadium, which generally favors the home team.
- Both teams are highly motivated, but the Yankees' recent success might give them an edge in confidence.
Odds and Predictions
Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
---|---|---|---|
Moneyline | Boston Red Sox: +134, New York Yankees: -163 | New York Yankees | β β β ββ 67% |
Spread | Boston Red Sox: 1.5 -161, New York Yankees: -1.5 132 | Boston Red Sox | β β β ββ 58% |
Over/under | Over: 7.5 -119, Under: 7.5 -102 | Under | β β β ββ 63% |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
Market | EV Pick |
---|---|
Moneyline | New York Yankees 0% |
Spread | N/A |
Over/Under | Under 7.5 5% |
π₯ Best Value Pick: Under 7.5 at 5% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 5.1% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
New York Yankees win with a narrow margin, underscoring the competitive nature of the matchup.
Predicted Score: Yankees 4, Red Sox 3
Match Analysis: Chicago Cubs vs San Diego Padres – Prediction
Match Details
- Date: 2025-10-02
- Time: 9:08 PM UTC
- Location: Wrigley Field, Chicago
Game Overview
The decisive Game 3 of the NL Wild Card series features the Chicago Cubs hosting the San Diego Padres. The series is tied 1-1, with both teams fighting to advance in the postseason.
Key Factors to Consider
- The Cubs finished the regular season 92-70 with strong home form (50-31). The Padres ended 90-72 but had a losing 38-43 road record. The Cubs recently won their last home game 3-0 against the Padres, showing solid pitching and defense.
- In head-to-head postseason matchups this series, both teams are 1-1. San Diego has a slight recent edge with a 4-2 SU record vs. Chicago over their last six encounters; however, Cubsβ dominance at home and game 2 shutout give them momentum.
- No critical injuries reported for either team that could materially affect starting lineups or pitching rotations in this elimination game.
- Wrigley Fieldβs familiar environment and home crowd advantage favor the Cubs. Weather is expected to be neutral without adverse effects on pitching or hitting.
- High motivation on both sides given the elimination stakes. Cubs have the home crowd and chance to advance with a strong pitching performance. Padres need to win on the road to extend the series, adding pressure but also urgency.
Odds and Predictions
Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
---|---|---|---|
Moneyline | Chicago Cubs -116, San Diego Padres -105 | Chicago Cubs | β β β β β 70% |
Spread | Chicago Cubs +1.5 -202, San Diego Padres -1.5 +164 | Chicago Cubs +1.5 | β β β β β 75% |
Over/under | Over 7.5 -112, Under 7.5 -108 | Under 7.5 | β β β ββ 68% |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
Market | EV Pick |
---|---|
Moneyline | Chicago Cubs 6% |
Spread | N/A |
Over/Under | Under 7.5 31% |
π₯ Best Value Pick: Under 7.5 at 31% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 33.4% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Chicago Cubs to win moneyline, cover the +1.5 spread, and the game to go under 7.5 runs
Predicted Score: Chicago Cubs 3, San Diego Padres 1
