Match Analysis: Miami Marlins vs San Diego Padres – Prediction
Match Details
- Date: July 23, 2025
- Time: 4:11 PM UTC
- Location: loanDepot park
Game Overview
A matchup between the San Diego Padres and the Miami Marlins, with the Padres favored. The Padres have a strong recent performance, while the Marlins have struggled at home against NL West opponents.
Key Factors to Consider
- San Diego is 55-46 and has a strong offense and pitching, while Miami is 47-53 and has struggled recently.
- Limited recent data, but the Marlins have historically struggled against NL West teams at home.
- No significant recent injuries affecting lineups.
- The game is at loanDepot park, which could favor the Marlins if they improve their home performance.
- Both teams are motivated to win, but the Padres have more consistent recent success.
Odds and Predictions
Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
---|---|---|---|
Moneyline | Miami Marlins: 124, San Diego Padres: -146 | San Diego Padres | ★★★★☆ 74% |
Spread | Miami Marlins: 1.5 -140, San Diego Padres: -1.5 116 | San Diego Padres -1.5 | ★★★☆☆ 67% |
Over/under | Over: 8 -110, Under: 8 -110 | Under 8 | ★★★☆☆ 58% |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
Market | EV Pick |
---|---|
Moneyline | San Diego Padres -9% |
Spread | N/A |
Over/Under | Under 8 11% |
🔥 Best Value Pick: Under 8 at 11% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 11.8% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
San Diego Padres should win and cover the spread, with the game potentially going under the total runs.
Predicted Score: San Diego Padres 4, Miami Marlins 3