Match Analysis: Miami Marlins vs New York Yankees – Prediction
Match Details
- Date: 2025-08-01
- Time: 11:11 PM UTC
- Location: LoanDepot Park, Miami
Game Overview
The New York Yankees visit the Miami Marlins in a crucial MLB matchup where the Yankees aim to extend their 3-game win streak and solidify their playoff positioning, while the Marlins seek to capitalize on home advantage and their recent momentum.
Key Factors to Consider
- Yankees hold a 60-49 record with a recent 3-game win streak. They are 26-27 on the road. Marlins have a 52-55 record, playing well lately with a 24-29 home record. Yankees are favored but have a middling road performance; Marlins are competitive as home underdogs.
- The teams are evenly matched historically, with Miami holding a slight recent edge having won their last encounter 4-2. Overall H2H stands around 17-16 in favor of Miami but Yankees win more on the road against Miami (7 away wins). Average runs per game are close: Marlins 3.61, Yankees 3.82.
- No significant injuries reported for either team that would impact starting pitchers or core batting lineups in this matchup.
- LoanDepot Parkβs hitter-friendly conditions favor scoring, but Yankeesβ strong pitching against Marlins usually keeps runs moderate. Both teams have endured a tough schedule, possibly affecting player fatigue.
- Yankees are pushing for a top playoff spot in AL East, making them highly motivated. Marlins are mid-table in NL East aiming to stay competitive and capitalize on home games.
Odds and Predictions
Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
---|---|---|---|
Moneyline | Miami Marlins +144, New York Yankees -172 | New York Yankees | β β β β β 73% |
Spread | Miami Marlins +1.5 (-125), New York Yankees -1.5 (104) | New York Yankees -1.5 | β β β ββ 68% |
Over/under | Over 7.5 (-122), Under 7.5 (100) | Under 7.5 | β β β ββ 62% |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
Market | EV Pick |
---|---|
Moneyline | New York Yankees -8% |
Spread | N/A |
Over/Under | Under 7.5 24% |
π₯ Best Value Pick: Under 7.5 at 24% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 24% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Take New York Yankees on the moneyline and the spread -1.5; expect under on total runs due to strong pitching in key matchups.
Predicted Score: Yankees 4 – Marlins 2