Match Analysis: Miami Marlins vs Kansas City Royals – Prediction
Match Details
- Date: 2025-07-18
- Time: 11:11 PM UTC
- Location: loanDepot Park
Game Overview
The Miami Marlins host the Kansas City Royals in a crucial matchup. The Marlins are on a two-game winning streak, while the Royals have won five of their last seven games. The game features a pitching matchup where the Marlins' Sandy Alcantara is confirmed to start, but the Royals' starting pitcher is not announced.
Key Factors to Consider
- The Marlins are batting .254 with a .392 slugging percentage, while the Royals are batting .245 with a .374 slugging percentage. Recent form favors the Royals, who have won five of their last seven games.
- The Marlins have won five of the last nine meetings, with four wins at home. The Royals have won four of these meetings, with two road victories.
- No significant injury updates are available for this matchup.
- The Marlins are familiar with the artificial turf at home, which could provide an advantage.
- Both teams are motivated to improve their standings, with the Marlins trailing the Phillies by 10.5 games and the Royals 12 games behind the Tigers.
Odds and Predictions
Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
---|---|---|---|
Moneyline | Kansas City Royals: -120, Miami Marlins: +102 | Miami Marlins | ★★★☆☆ 55% |
Spread | Kansas City Royals: -1.5 +138, Miami Marlins: +1.5 -166 | Miami Marlins +1.5 | ★★★☆☆ 60% |
Over/under | Over 8: -106, Under 8: -114 | Under 8 | ★★★☆☆ 65% |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
Market | EV Pick |
---|---|
Moneyline | Miami Marlins 7% |
Spread | N/A |
Over/Under | Under 8 9% |
🔥 Best Value Pick: Under 8 at 9% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 10.1% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
The Marlins have a slight edge at home, especially considering their head-to-head record and familiarity with the turf.
Predicted Score: Miami Marlins 4, Kansas City Royals 3