Match Analysis: LSU Tigers vs Dallas Baptist Patriots – Prediction
Match Details
- Date: 2025-05-31
- Time: 10:00 PM UTC
- Location: Baton Rouge, LA
Game Overview
LSU Tigers (home) takes on Dallas Baptist Patriots (away) in Day 2 of the NCAA Baseball Regionals, both teams coming off wins in their openers. LSU's strong pitching depth and powerful lineup, combined with a quality lefty starter (Kade Anderson), face a DBU squad that is solid defensively but may have some bullpen constraints due to recent usage.
Key Factors to Consider
- LSU recorded a dominant 7-0 shutout over Little Rock, showcasing pitching and offensive strength. Dallas Baptist won 6-2 over Rhode Island, but used several relievers, potentially limiting bullpen options for this game.
- LSU and Dallas Baptist faced each other earlier in the season with LSU winning 7-3. DBU managed two home runs in that matchup, but LSU controlled the game overall.
- No major injuries reported. DBU's key bullpen arms (Borberg, Jenkins) may be limited due to recent pitch counts, while LSU’s pitching remains fresh and poised to go deep.
- Late start (8 pm local), warm weather expected, and a competitive regional atmosphere with both teams highly motivated to stay in the winners bracket.
- Both teams are highly motivated to secure a spot in the winners bracket, but LSU, playing at home, has extra momentum and depth on the mound.
Odds and Predictions
Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
---|---|---|---|
Moneyline | LSU Tigers: -298, Dallas Baptist Patriots: +220 | LSU Tigers win | High (78%) |
Spread | LSU -2.5 (-130), DBU +2.5 (+100) | LSU Tigers cover -2.5 | Moderate (65%) |
Over/under | Over 12.5: -120, Under 12.5: -110 | Under 12.5 | Low-Moderate (55%) |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
Market | EV Pick |
---|---|
Moneyline | LSU Tigers -4% |
Spread | N/A |
Over/Under | Under 12.5 5% |
🔥 Best Value Pick: Under 12.5 at 5% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 5.5% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
LSU Tigers are favored to win, leveraging their strong pitching (especially with Anderson starting) and deeper bullpen. Expect LSU to cover the spread if their offense stays hot and pitching holds firm.
Predicted Score: LSU Tigers 6, Dallas Baptist 2