Match Analysis: Los Angeles Dodgers vs San Diego Padres - Prediction
Match Details
- Date: 2025-08-16
- Time: 2:11 AM UTC
- Location: Dodger Stadium
Game Overview
The Los Angeles Dodgers host the San Diego Padres in a crucial NL West matchup, with the Dodgers slightly behind the Padres in the standings. The Dodgers have struggled recently with four straight losses but possess a strong home record and a veteran starting pitcher in Clayton Kershaw. The Padres are on a hot streak since late July and have a potent lineup with Manny Machado and Fernando Tatis Jr.
Key Factors to Consider
- Dodgers have a 68-53 record with a strong 38-24 home mark but four consecutive losses; Padres hold a 69-52 record and are 14-3 since July 26, showing high current form.
- Clayton Kershaw has historically dominated the Padres, allowing only 12 hits and one run in his last 12 innings against them; however, Padres players currently hit .277 against him this season.
- No significant injuries reported for either team affecting key players or starters. Both teams appear at near-full strength.
- Game played at Dodger Stadium, a pitcher-friendly park. Weather expected to be neutral with no significant influences projected.
- Padres are motivated to consolidate their NL West lead on the road; Dodgers motivated to bounce back from losing streak playing in front of home crowd.
Odds and Predictions
Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
---|---|---|---|
Moneyline | Dodgers -190, Padres +160 | Los Angeles Dodgers | β β β β β 76% |
Spread | Dodgers -1.5 +106, Padres +1.5 -128 | Los Angeles Dodgers -1.5 | β β β ββ 68% |
Over/under | Over 9 -122, Under 9 +100 | Over 9 runs | β β β ββ 65% |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
Market | EV Pick |
---|---|
Moneyline | Los Angeles Dodgers -2% |
Spread | N/A |
Over/Under | Over 9 11% |
π₯ Best Value Pick: Over 9 at 11% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 13.4% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Moneyline: Los Angeles Dodgers win. Spread: Dodgers -1.5. Over/Under: Over 9 runs.
Predicted Score: Dodgers 5 - Padres 3
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