Match Analysis: Los Angeles Dodgers vs Milwaukee Brewers – Prediction
Match Details
- Date: 2025-07-19
- Time: 2:10 AM UTC
- Location: Dodger Stadium, Los Angeles, CA
Game Overview
The Los Angeles Dodgers host the Milwaukee Brewers in the first game of a three-game series. Dodgers are favorites with a strong home advantage and a solid pitching matchup, while the Brewers, though underdogs, remain competitive with effective pitching and rested bullpens.
Key Factors to Consider
- Dodgers have performed well as favorites this season (62.2% win rate when favored, 26-12 at similar moneyline odds). Brewers have a nearly 49% winning rate as underdogs, showing resilience. Both bullpens are well-rested and starting pitchers have solid recent form.
- Historically, Dodgers have dominated head-to-head at home, but Brewers have shown ability to challenge, especially with pitching matchups against Glasnow.
- Brewers face multiple key injuries (Thomas, Mitchell, Cortes, Snell, Treinen, Phillips) affecting depth, while Dodgers have a cleaner injury report enabling full-strength lineup.
- Game at Dodgers’ home park favors hitting, but quality starting pitching and rested bullpens suggest containment of runs. Weather conditions and other external factors are typical for mid-July in LA.
- Dodgers motivated to maintain playoff push and home dominance; Brewers motivated to steal road wins to stay competitive in division race.
Odds and Predictions
Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
---|---|---|---|
Moneyline | Dodgers: -194, Brewers: +158 | Los Angeles Dodgers | ★★★★☆ 72% |
Spread | Dodgers -1.5: -110, Brewers +1.5: -110 | Dodgers -1.5 | ★★★☆☆ 65% |
Over/under | Over 10.5: +100, Under 10.5: -120 | Under 10.5 runs | ★★★★☆ 70% |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
Market | EV Pick |
---|---|
Moneyline | Los Angeles Dodgers -9% |
Spread | N/A |
Over/Under | N/A |
🔥 Best Value Pick: Los Angeles Dodgers at -9% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 0% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Moneyline: Los Angeles Dodgers win; Spread: Dodgers -1.5; Over/Under: Under 10.5 runs
Predicted Score: Los Angeles Dodgers 4, Milwaukee Brewers 2