Match Analysis: Los Angeles Dodgers vs Milwaukee Brewers – Prediction
Match Details
- Date: 2025-07-20
- Time: 8:11 PM UTC
- Location: Dodger Stadium, Los Angeles, California
Game Overview
The Los Angeles Dodgers host the Milwaukee Brewers in the final game of their three-game series. Both teams have strong records this season, with the Dodgers slightly trailing Milwaukee by one game in overall wins. This matchup features strong pitching matchups with Jose Quintana on the mound for the Brewers and a Dodgers starter yet to be confirmed.
Key Factors to Consider
- The Dodgers hold a strong 58-41 record, winning 61.4% of games as favorites. The Brewers have a comparable 58-40 record, with solid pitching (3.66 ERA) and steady offense (.249 batting average). Dodgers have a slight edge in run production at home historically.
- Historically, Dodgers lead the head-to-head 42-35, with 22 home wins. The last meeting was a close 8-7 Brewers victory, indicating competitive matchups. Home team averages 4.62 runs per game, visitors 3.73.
- No major injuries reported affecting starting lineups or pitching rotations for either team.
- Playing at Dodger Stadium gives the Dodgers a home-field advantage. Weather and playing conditions are neutral with no impacting factors noted.
- Dodgers motivated to defend home turf and reclaim series lead; Brewers motivated to complete the series sweep.
Odds and Predictions
Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
---|---|---|---|
Moneyline | Dodgers -162, Brewers 136 | Dodgers | β β β ββ 68% |
Spread | Dodgers -1.5 (130), Brewers +1.5 (-156) | Brewers +1.5 | β β β ββ 65% |
Over/under | Over 9 (-112), Under 9 (-108) | Over 9 | β β β ββ 62% |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
Market | EV Pick |
---|---|
Moneyline | Los Angeles Dodgers -3% |
Spread | N/A |
Over/Under | Over 9 4% |
π₯ Best Value Pick: Over 9 at 4% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 4.6% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Los Angeles Dodgers to win on the moneyline, with a cautious expectation that Brewers will keep the game close, and the total runs to go over the line of 9 runs.
Predicted Score: Dodgers 5 – Brewers 4