Match Analysis: Kansas City Royals vs New York Mets – Prediction
Match Details
- Date: 2025-07-13
- Time: 6:11 PM UTC
- Location: Kauffman Stadium, Kansas City, Missouri
Game Overview
The New York Mets (55-41) visit the Kansas City Royals (46-50) aiming to complete a series sweep after winning the first two games. Mets enter as favorites with stronger recent pitching and better overall record, while Royals rely on solid home pitching and improving offense.
Key Factors to Consider
- Mets have won 65.6% of games as favorites this season, boasting a 25-16 record when favored by -140 or more. Royals have been competitive recently, winning 6 of their last 9 but have a losing overall record and lower offensive output.
- Mets lead the series 2-0, both games won with solid pitching performances and timely offense.
- No significant injuries reported that strongly affect either starting lineup or key pitchers for this game.
- Game played at Royals' home field with typical mid-July weather; no extreme conditions reported. Mets have momentum from current series sweep attempt.
- Mets motivated to complete sweep and strengthen playoff positioning; Royals motivated to avoid sweep and leverage home crowd support.
Odds and Predictions
Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
---|---|---|---|
Moneyline | Kansas City Royals +112, New York Mets -132 | New York Mets | β β β β β 74% |
Spread | Kansas City Royals +1.5 -154, New York Mets -1.5 +128 | New York Mets -1.5 | β β β ββ 68% |
Over/under | Over 8.5 -115, Under 8.5 -105 | Over 8.5 runs | β β β ββ 62% |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
Market | EV Pick |
---|---|
Moneyline | New York Mets 0% |
Spread | N/A |
Over/Under | Over 8.5 1% |
π₯ Best Value Pick: Over 8.5 at 1% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 1.1% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
New York Mets to win outright on moneyline, cover the -1.5 spread, and game total to go over 8.5 runs
Predicted Score: Mets 6 – Royals 4