Match Analysis: Gonzaga Bulldogs vs Saint Mary's Gaels – Prediction
Match Details
- Date: 2025-05-23
- Time: 1:00 AM UTC
- Location: Gonzaga Baseball Field, Spokane, WA
Game Overview
The NCAA baseball match between Gonzaga Bulldogs and Saint Mary's Gaels is a key West Coast Conference showdown. Gonzaga, the home team, has shown solid performance during the 2025 season with notable wins and some losses, while Saint Mary's have had a strong recent run, including away victories at Gonzaga earlier in May.
Key Factors to Consider
- Gonzaga Bulldogs have demonstrated consistent play through the season, achieving important conference wins but also suffering losses on the road and at home. Saint Mary's Gaels have been on a strong winning streak recently in the conference, including close wins at Gonzaga, showing resilience and ability to perform under pressure.
- In the latest encounters this season, Saint Mary's Gaels won two back-to-back close games at Gonzaga on May 10 and May 11, with scores 6-5 and 12-11 respectively, indicating a slight edge in head-to-head performance for Saint Mary's in recent matchups.
- No specific injury reports are available for either team as of the current date, suggesting both squads are likely at full strength for this match.
- Playing at home in Spokane benefits Gonzaga due to familiarity with the field and local conditions. Weather or other external factors have not been indicated to impact the game significantly.
- Both teams have strong motivation given their competitive standings in the West Coast Conference. Saint Mary's will aim to extend their winning streak and dominance over Gonzaga, while Gonzaga seeks to defend their home field and even the series.
Odds and Predictions
| Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | Gonzaga Bulldogs: +105, Saint Mary's Gaels: -135 | Saint Mary's Gaels | β β β ββ 68% |
| Spread | Gonzaga Bulldogs: +1.5, Saint Mary's Gaels: -1.5 | Saint Mary's Gaels to cover the -1.5 spread | β β β ββ 64% |
| Over/under | Over: 8.5 runs, Under: 8.5 runs | Over 8.5 runs | β β β ββ 60% |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
| Market | EV Pick |
|---|---|
| Moneyline | Saint Mary's Gaels 1% |
| Spread | N/A |
| Over/Under | N/A |
π₯ Best Value Pick: Saint Mary's Gaels at 1% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 1.3% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Given Saint Mary's recent success against Gonzaga, including close wins on Gonzaga's turf, the prediction favors Saint Mary's Gaels to edge out a victory. However, Gonzaga's home advantage and overall solid season performance suggest a competitive game with a narrow margin.
Predicted Score: Saint Mary's Gaels 7 – 5 Gonzaga Bulldogs