Match Analysis: Detroit Tigers vs Toronto Blue Jays – Prediction
Match Details
- Date: 2025-07-25
- Time: 11:11 PM UTC
- Location: Comerica Park, Detroit, Michigan
Game Overview
The Detroit Tigers (60-44) host the Toronto Blue Jays (61-42) in a critical AL Central matchup. The Tigers have struggled recently, losing 10 of their last 11 games, while the Blue Jays come in with solid form and slightly better overall season stats.
Key Factors to Consider
- Detroit is first in AL Central but in a severe slump with a 1-10 record in their last 11 games, despite a strong home record (32-19). Toronto holds a better overall record (61-42) with solid pitching and hitting performances, boasting a 60% win rate and balanced stats both home and away.
- Recent head-to-head results are split, with Detroit winning the previous game 11-4, but Toronto has enjoyed general success against Detroit in the season.
- No critical injury information found; starting pitchers are Keider Montero for Detroit (4-2, 4.28 ERA) and JosΓ© Berrios for Toronto (6-4, 3.87 ERA). Both expected to start in good health.
- Game played at Comerica Park favors Tigers slightly due to home advantage; weather and other external factors appear neutral.
- Detroit fights to maintain division lead amidst slump, providing some motivation. Toronto seeks to capitalize on Tigers' poor form and strengthen their playoff positioning.
Odds and Predictions
Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
---|---|---|---|
Moneyline | Detroit Tigers -102, Toronto Blue Jays -116 | Toronto Blue Jays | β β β β β 72% |
Spread | Detroit Tigers +1.5 -178, Toronto Blue Jays -1.5 +146 | Toronto Blue Jays -1.5 | β β β ββ 68% |
Over/under | Over 8.5 -124, Under 8.5 +102 | Under 8.5 | β β β ββ 65% |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
Market | EV Pick |
---|---|
Moneyline | Toronto Blue Jays -3% |
Spread | N/A |
Over/Under | Under 8.5 25% |
π₯ Best Value Pick: Under 8.5 at 25% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 24.7% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Toronto Blue Jays to win on the moneyline, cover the -1.5 spread, and the game to go under 8.5 runs.
Predicted Score: Toronto Blue Jays 5, Detroit Tigers 3