Match Analysis: Detroit Tigers vs Seattle Mariners – Prediction
Match Details
- Date: 2025-07-13
- Time: 5:41 PM UTC
- Location: Detroit Tigers Home Stadium
Game Overview
The Detroit Tigers host the Seattle Mariners in an MLB matchup with both teams showing comparable offensive stats but notable differences in starting pitching quality and recent form.
Key Factors to Consider
- Detroit Tigers have a stronger overall record (59-37) compared to Seattle (50-45) and a better ERA (3.42 vs 4.02), showing superior pitching and slightly better home form (32-17). Mariners have been dominant in this series but have been inconsistent on the road (25-24).
- Seattle has outscored Detroit early in the series with 27 runs, but Detroit holds a better home record and pitching advantage. Previous matchups favor close contests with offensive fireworks expected.
- No critical injuries reported for either starting pitchers or key batters that would significantly shift advantage.
- Standard ballpark conditions expected, no significant weather or travel disruptions. The game is played in Detroit which slightly favors Tigers.
- Detroit aims to avoid being swept at home and to maintain strong playoff positioning, providing high motivation. Seattle plays with decent momentum but as underdog on the moneyline.
Odds and Predictions
Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
---|---|---|---|
Moneyline | Detroit -106, Seattle -110 | Detroit Tigers | β β β ββ 65% |
Spread | Detroit +1.5 -192, Seattle -1.5 +158 | Detroit Tigers +1.5 | β β β β β 70% |
Over/under | Over 8 -110, Under 8 -110 | Over 8 | β β β ββ 60% |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
Market | EV Pick |
---|---|
Moneyline | Detroit Tigers 1% |
Spread | N/A |
Over/Under | Over 8 11% |
π₯ Best Value Pick: Over 8 at 11% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 11.8% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Detroit Tigers moneyline win, Tigers +1.5 spread, Over 8 total runs
Predicted Score: Detroit Tigers 5 – Seattle Mariners 4