Match Analysis: Detroit Tigers vs Seattle Mariners - Prediction
Match Details
- Date: 2025-07-12
- Time: 5:11 PM UTC
- Location: Comerica Park, Detroit, Michigan
Game Overview
The Detroit Tigers host the Seattle Mariners in a pivotal mid-July MLB matchup. The Tigers, holding a strong 59-36 record, are favorites with home advantage. Seattle, at 49-45, rely on a solid pitching staff but have shown vulnerabilities on the road.
Key Factors to Consider
- Detroit Tigers have a superior record and strong home pitching, notably Mize's 2.00 ERA at home and 2.63 ERA overall recently. Mariners have a 3.89 pitching ERA with starter George Kirby struggling historically against the Tigers and on the road.
- Kirby is 1-4 with a 7.54 ERA lifetime against Detroit. The Tigers have dominated previous matchups, especially at home.
- No significant injuries reported affecting starting lineups for either team.
- Game at Comerica Park, neutral weather expected, no known distractions. Tigers have home field support.
- Tigers are motivated to maintain their divisional lead and capitalize on home advantage. Mariners aim to stay competitive but face tougher upcoming schedules.
Odds and Predictions
Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
---|---|---|---|
Moneyline | Detroit Tigers -122 / Seattle Mariners +104 | Detroit Tigers | ★★★★☆ 78% |
Spread | Detroit Tigers -1.5 +168 / Seattle Mariners +1.5 -205 | Detroit Tigers -1.5 | ★★★★☆ 72% |
Over/under | Over 8 -104 / Under 8 -118 | Under 8 | ★★★☆☆ 65% |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
Market | EV Pick |
---|---|
Moneyline | Detroit Tigers 13% |
Spread | N/A |
Over/Under | Under 8 11% |
🔥 Best Value Pick: Detroit Tigers at 13% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 15.6% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Detroit Tigers to win outright on the moneyline, cover the -1.5 run spread, and the game total to go under 8 runs.
Predicted Score: Detroit Tigers 4 - Seattle Mariners 2
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