Match Analysis: Detroit Tigers vs Los Angeles Angels – Prediction
Match Details
- Date: 2025-08-10
- Time: 5:41 PM UTC
- Location: Comerica Park, Detroit, Michigan
Game Overview
The Detroit Tigers host the Los Angeles Angels in the third game of their three-game MLB series. Tigers are favorites both on the moneyline and spread, with the total set at 9 runs.
Key Factors to Consider
- Detroit Tigers hold a 67-51 record, showing solid home form and winning 63% of games as odds-on favorites this season. Angels are 56-61 with weaker pitching (5.85 ERA for starter Kochanowicz) and hitting struggles (.233 batting average).
- The teams split the first two games, each taking one win in this series. Detroit has a career edge against Angels' starter Kochanowicz, who struggled on the road with a 5.51 ERA.
- No significant injury reports for either team affecting the starting pitchers or major lineup contributors at this time.
- The game is at Comerica Park, a neutral to slightly pitcher-friendly ballpark favoring the home Tigers. Weather and other conditions are typical, with no extreme factors noted.
- Detroit seeks the series win at home to maintain playoff positioning, while Angels are fighting to avoid further losses on the road against a strong opponent.
Odds and Predictions
Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
---|---|---|---|
Moneyline | Detroit Tigers -200, Los Angeles Angels +168 | Detroit Tigers | β β β β β 72% |
Spread | Detroit Tigers -1.5 +102, Angels +1.5 -122 | Detroit Tigers -1.5 | β β β ββ 68% |
Over/under | Over 9 -105, Under 9 -115 | Over 9 runs | β β β ββ 63% |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
Market | EV Pick |
---|---|
Moneyline | Detroit Tigers -4% |
Spread | N/A |
Over/Under | Over 9 11% |
π₯ Best Value Pick: Over 9 at 11% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 11.9% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Detroit Tigers win moneyline, cover the -1.5 spread, and game total goes over 9 runs.
Predicted Score: Detroit Tigers 6 – Los Angeles Angels 4