Match Analysis: Detroit Tigers vs Kansas City Royals – Prediction
Match Details
- Date: 2025-08-22
- Time: 11:11 PM UTC
- Location: Comerica Park, Detroit, MI
Game Overview
The Detroit Tigers host the Kansas City Royals in a pivotal AL Central matchup with both teams playing well recently. Detroit holds a strong home record and leads the season series, while Kansas City has shown improvement on the road with starting pitcher Ryan Bergert in good form against Detroit's struggling starter Casey Mize.
Key Factors to Consider
- The Tigers are 7-1 in their last 8 games and 10-3 in their last 13, with a 42-24 home record. The Royals have gone 6-1 in their last 7 games and 30-32 on the road, trending positively but worse than Detroit overall.
- Detroit leads the season series 5-2 and has won the last four series matchups. Tigers are 10-2 ATS in last 12 games vs Royals, while Royals have failed to cover run line in last six road games against AL Central foes following a win.
- No specific injury reports impacting starting rotations or key players were noted in recent information.
- Game is at Comerica Park, home of the Tigers, giving Detroit a familiar environment advantage. Weather and other externalities appear neutral with no adverse impact reported.
- Detroit, with a better record and home field advantage, motivated to maintain divisional lead. Kansas City also motivated as a wild card hopeful, coming in hot but with less consistency on the road.
Odds and Predictions
Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
---|---|---|---|
Moneyline | Detroit Tigers -156, Kansas City Royals +132 | Detroit Tigers | β β β β β 74% |
Spread | Detroit Tigers -1.5 +128, Kansas City Royals +1.5 -154 | Kansas City Royals +1.5 | β β β ββ 65% |
Over/under | Over 8.5 -108, Under 8.5 -112 | Over 8.5 | β β β ββ 60% |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
Market | EV Pick |
---|---|
Moneyline | Detroit Tigers 2% |
Spread | N/A |
Over/Under | Over 8.5 6% |
π₯ Best Value Pick: Over 8.5 at 6% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 6.4% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Detroit Tigers to win on the moneyline
Predicted Score: Detroit Tigers 6 – Kansas City Royals 4