Match Analysis: Creighton Bluejays vs Arkansas Razorbacks – Prediction
Match Details
- Date: 2025-06-01
- Time: 1:00 AM UTC
- Location: Fayetteville Regional, Arkansas
Game Overview
The NCAA Fayetteville Regional baseball match pits the Creighton Bluejays against the Arkansas Razorbacks in a key tournament game. Arkansas, as the host team, has shown strong form with an 18th SEC win and home advantage. Creighton enters having secured a solid season record and momentum from recent wins in the tournament's opening rounds. Both teams are competitive, with Arkansas favored due to home field and conference strength.
Key Factors to Consider
- Arkansas Razorbacks have a strong SEC performance with an 18th conference win, indicating a high level of play and consistency at home. Creighton Bluejays hold a 41-14 overall record, demonstrating solid offensive and defensive abilities, including a 3-game winning streak entering this match. Creighton's balanced home and away records highlight their adaptability in neutral venues like Fayetteville.
- Direct recent head-to-head data between Creighton and Arkansas is limited but Arkansas's home advantage and stronger conference showings provide them an edge. Arkansas's experience hosting NCAA regionals adds strategic advantage.
- No specific injury reports or key player absences have been indicated for either team in the current NCAA Fayetteville Regional context.
- Playing at Arkansas's home field in Fayetteville provides them a significant external benefit including familiar conditions and local fan support. Weather conditions are presumed stable typical for early June in Arkansas.
- Arkansas is motivated by home ground advantage and the desire to advance deeply in the NCAA tournament. Creighton aims to upset the favored host team and capitalize on their strong tournament form, making motivation high on both sides.
Odds and Predictions
Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
---|---|---|---|
Moneyline | Arkansas Razorbacks: -560, Creighton Bluejays: 370 | Arkansas Razorbacks to win | ★★★★☆ 85% |
Spread | Arkansas Razorbacks: -4.5 -125, Creighton Bluejays: +4.5 -105 | Arkansas Razorbacks to cover -4.5 spread | ★★★★☆ 70% |
Over/under | Over: 12 -115, Under: 12 -115 | Over 12 runs | ★★★☆☆ 60% |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
Market | EV Pick |
---|---|
Moneyline | Creighton Bluejays -12% |
Spread | N/A |
Over/Under | Over 12 3% |
🔥 Best Value Pick: Over 12 at 3% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 3.3% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Arkansas Razorbacks are favored to win, leveraging home advantage and strong conference performance. The game is expected to be competitive but Arkansas is likely to cover the spread and the total runs are projected to be around the offered over/under line.
Predicted Score: Arkansas Razorbacks 8 – Creighton Bluejays 3