Match Analysis: Colorado Rockies vs St. Louis Cardinals – Prediction
Match Details
- Date: 2025-07-23
- Time: 7:11 PM UTC
- Location: Coors Field, Denver, Colorado
Game Overview
The St. Louis Cardinals (52-50) face the Colorado Rockies (25-76) at the hitter-friendly Coors Field in Denver. The Cardinals are favored on the moneyline and spread, with a notable expectation for a potent offensive game given the ballpark and recent scoring trends.
Key Factors to Consider
- The Cardinals have a winning record (52-50) and average 4.52 runs per game, ranking 13th in MLB, while having a 4.17 ERA pitching staff. Colorado struggles significantly with a 25-76 record and a higher team ERA around 5.19 from probable starter Kyle Freeland, highlighting pitching weaknesses.
- In the current series, Cardinals won Game 1 and Rockies won Game 2. Historically, Cardinals hold the advantage, and in recent head-to-head at Coors Field, Cardinals’ pitching and hitting balance out despite the elevation.
- No significant injuries reported for either team affecting key position players or pitchers relevant to this matchup.
- Coors Field’s altitude heavily favors hitters, inflating scoring totals. The Cardinals’ starting pitcher Andre Pallante has a 4.71 ERA, which could be challenged by the Rockies’ hitters in this environment.
- With Cardinals looking to improve above .500 and maintain their edge in the playoff race, motivation is high. Rockies have minimal playoff hope, potentially reducing competitive intensity.
Odds and Predictions
Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
---|---|---|---|
Moneyline | COL +162, STL -194 | St. Louis Cardinals | ★★★★☆ 78% |
Spread | COL +1.5 (+108), STL -1.5 (-130) | St. Louis Cardinals -1.5 | ★★★★☆ 72% |
Over/under | Over 11 (-115), Under 11 (-105) | Over 11 runs | ★★★★☆ 75% |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
Market | EV Pick |
---|---|
Moneyline | St. Louis Cardinals -9% |
Spread | N/A |
Over/Under | Over 11 27% |
🔥 Best Value Pick: Over 11 at 27% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 31.2% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
St. Louis Cardinals moneyline win, Cardinals -1.5 spread, Over 11 total runs
Predicted Score: Cardinals 7 – Rockies 4