Match Analysis: Colorado Rockies vs Philadelphia Phillies – Prediction
Match Details
- Date: 2025-05-22
- Time: 7:10 PM UTC
- Location: Coors Field
Game Overview
The Philadelphia Phillies, leading the standings and having won 8 of their last 10, face the Colorado Rockies, who are struggling both at home and overall. The Phillies recently defeated the Rockies 9-5, demonstrating strong offensive capability and consistency. The game is expected to be competitive, but the Phillies are favored due to superior form and road performance.
Key Factors to Consider
- Philadelphia Phillies are in excellent form, with 8 wins in their last 10 games and an impressive record on the road (4-0 in last 4 away games). Their average runs scored in away games is 6.5, while conceding only 2 runs per game. Colorado Rockies have 33 wins and are 20-13 at home, but have lost 6 of last 10 overall. Their recent form and defensive struggles do not match up well against the Phillies' current momentum[5].
- The Phillies just beat the Rockies 9-5 the previous day. Historically, recent matchups between these teams have seen a high proportion of games finish under 12.5 runs, but the Phillies have shown they can score heavily on any given night[2][5].
- No significant, new injury updates are available as of this preview. Both teams are expected to field strong lineups.
- The venue, Coors Field, is known for high-scoring games due to altitude. However, recent trends and predictions suggest games between these teams are more likely to stay under 12.5 runs[5].
- The Phillies are motivated to maintain their lead in the standings. The Rockies are trying to improve their inconsistent home form and climb the standings from a lower position[5].
Odds and Predictions
Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
---|---|---|---|
Moneyline | home: +240, away: -295 | Philadelphia Phillies | β β β β β 80% |
Spread | home: +1.5 (+168), away: -1.5 (-205) | Philadelphia Phillies -1.5 | β β β ββ 65% |
Over/under | over: Over 11 (-110), under: Under 11 (-110) | Under 11 | β β β ββ 60% |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
Market | EV Pick |
---|---|
Moneyline | Philadelphia Phillies -4% |
Spread | N/A |
Over/Under | Under 11 5% |
π₯ Best Value Pick: Under 11 at 5% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 5.5% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Philadelphia Phillies are likely to win on moneyline and cover the spread, with the game expected to stay under the high total due to both teams' recent under trends despite Coors Field's reputation for high scores.
Predicted Score: Philadelphia Phillies 6, Colorado Rockies 4