Match Analysis: Colorado Rockies vs New York Yankees – Prediction
Match Details
- Date: 2025-05-25
- Time: 7:11 PM UTC
- Location: Coors Field, Denver, CO
Game Overview
The New York Yankees and Colorado Rockies meet for the second consecutive day at Coors Field. The Rockies secured a narrow 3-2 victory over the Yankees on May 24, 2025, showing strong hitting from players like Paul Goldschmidt (.344 AVG, 3 hits, 1 RBI) and contributions from Grisham, Judge, and Bellinger. The Yankees, although a strong favorite, have struggled slightly against the Rockies' pitching and offense at this venue this season.
Key Factors to Consider
- Colorado Rockies have recent momentum after their 3-2 win over the Yankees on May 24, with notable offensive production from their top hitters. The Yankees remain a dominant team generally but face challenges on the road and have lower offensive output in recent matchups against the Rockies. Yankees' key players like Aaron Judge maintain high batting averages but have not yet translated this to a clear advantage in this series.
- The Rockies won the previous game narrowly at home against the Yankees (3-2). Historically, Yankees have been favorites but the Rockies leverage Coors Field's hitter-friendly conditions well, keeping these contests close.
- No major injuries reported for either side that would significantly impact starting lineups or pitching rotations for this game.
- Playing at Coors Field favors Colorado due to altitude effects increasing offensive output. The weather is typical for Denver late May with no reported rain or wind issues expected.
- The Rockies are highly motivated to capitalize on home advantage and current winning momentum against a top-tier team. The Yankees will be motivated to rebound quickly from the previous loss and assert their superiority to maintain playoff positioning.
Odds and Predictions
| Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | Colorado Rockies: 245, New York Yankees: -300 | New York Yankees win | β β β β β 75% |
| Spread | Colorado Rockies: 1.5, price_col: 164, New York Yankees: -1.5, price_nyy: -200 | New York Yankees to cover -1.5 spread | β β β β β 70% |
| Over/under | Over 11: -115, Under 11: -105 | Over 11 runs | β β β ββ 65% |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
| Market | EV Pick |
|---|---|
| Moneyline | New York Yankees -9% |
| Spread | N/A |
| Over/Under | Over 11 12% |
π₯ Best Value Pick: Over 11 at 12% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 14% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Despite the Rockies' home advantage and recent win, the New York Yankees are favored due to stronger pitching depth and overall team strength. Expect a competitive game with slight edge to the Yankees for a close win.
Predicted Score: New York Yankees 6 – Colorado Rockies 4