Match Analysis: Colorado Rockies vs Los Angeles Dodgers – Prediction
Match Details
- Date: 2025-08-21
- Time: 7:11 PM UTC
- Location: Coors Field, Denver, Colorado
Game Overview
The Los Angeles Dodgers (72-55), with Clayton Kershaw starting, face the Colorado Rockies (37-90) at Coors Field in the 4th game of their series. The Rockies lead the series 2-1 with recent momentum, but Dodgers hold a strong season edge overall.
Key Factors to Consider
- Dodgers have superior pitching (4.12 ERA vs Rockies' 6.00 ERA) and balanced offense led by Shohei Ohtani and Will Smith. Rockies have struggled overall but have won 5 of their last 6 games, showing improved form.
- Dodgers lead the season series 7-2 despite losing recent two games. Rockies won last game 8-3, snapping Ohtani's undefeated season streak.
- Dodgers missing Enrique HernΓ‘ndez (elbow inflammation), key bench utility player. Rockies have no major injuries noted recently impacting pitching or offense.
- Coors Field is a hitter-friendly park that inflates scoring, favoring the over on total runs. Kershaw has handled Coors well in his career; Rockies' young pitcher Chase Dollander struggles in away and overall performance.
- Rockies aim to extend their best streak of the season to four games, motivated by recent success. Dodgers motivated to avoid series loss and maintain postseason momentum.
Odds and Predictions
| Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | Colorado Rockies: +205, Los Angeles Dodgers: -255 | Los Angeles Dodgers | β β β β β 75% |
| Spread | Colorado Rockies +1.5: +152, Los Angeles Dodgers -1.5: -184 | Los Angeles Dodgers -1.5 | β β β ββ 68% |
| Over/under | Over 11.5: -118, Under 11.5: -104 | Over 11.5 runs | β β β ββ 60% |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
| Market | EV Pick |
|---|---|
| Moneyline | Los Angeles Dodgers -10% |
| Spread | N/A |
| Over/Under | Over 11.5 5% |
π₯ Best Value Pick: Over 11.5 at 5% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 6.3% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Los Angeles Dodgers win moneyline, cover -1.5 run spread, and the game goes over 11.5 total runs
Predicted Score: Dodgers 7 – Rockies 5