Match Analysis: Colorado Rockies vs Detroit Tigers - Prediction
Match Details
- Date: 2025-05-07
- Time: 12:40 AM UTC
- Location: Coors Field, Colorado
Game Overview
Detroit Tigers visit the Colorado Rockies in a midweek MLB series, with both teams looking to capitalize on recent momentum and roster adjustments. The matchup comes after a postponed game and a doubleheader, raising questions about bullpen availability and starters’ effectiveness.
Key Factors to Consider
- The Tigers have shown offensive explosiveness, recently defeating the Angels 13-1, but have also suffered tough losses in their previous series. The Rockies’ recent form has been inconsistent, with struggles in pitching and defense, and have a tendency to play high-scoring games, especially at home.
- Recent matchups have been limited, but the Tigers have demonstrated a stronger run production in this series. The postponed game earlier in the week may impact starters’ availability and bullpen fatigue.
- Jackson Jobe (DET) was initially scheduled to start but was scratched due to the postponed game, potentially affecting the Tigers’ rotation management. No major Rockies pitcher injuries were reported, but their bullpen has been taxed in recent series.
- Coors Field is a notorious hitter’s park, generally increasing run totals. Weather at this time of year is typically mild, but recent postponements due to inclement weather could lead to roster adjustments and fatigue.
- Both teams are motivated to bounce back from recent inconsistencies. The Tigers, with a slight edge in momentum and lineup depth, may seek to capitalize on the Rockies’ pitching struggles.
Odds and Predictions
Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
---|---|---|---|
Moneyline | COL 148, DET -176 | Detroit Tigers win | ★★★☆☆ 68% |
Spread | COL 1.5 -106, DET -1.5 -113 | Detroit Tigers cover (-1.5) | ★★★☆☆ 55% |
Over/under | Over 9.5 100, Under 9.5 -122 | Over 9.5 runs | ★★★☆☆ 65% |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
Market | EV Pick |
---|---|
Moneyline | Detroit Tigers -1% |
Spread | N/A |
Over/Under | Over 9.5 20% |
🔥 Best Value Pick: Over 9.5 at 20% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 20% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Detroit Tigers are favored, with a more balanced lineup and better pitching depth in recent games. However, the game at Coors Field could see high-scoring innings. Expect the Tigers to win a close, high-scoring contest.
Predicted Score: Detroit Tigers 7, Colorado Rockies 5
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