Match Analysis: Colorado Rockies vs Chicago Cubs – Prediction
Match Details
- Date: 2025-08-31
- Time: 7:11 PM UTC
- Location: Coors Field, Denver, Colorado
Game Overview
The Chicago Cubs visit the Colorado Rockies at Coors Field. The Cubs are strong playoff contenders with solid pitching and hitting stats, while the Rockies have the worst record in MLB and have struggled both offensively and defensively this season.
Key Factors to Consider
- Cubs are 78-58 with a 3.84 ERA and solid offensive metrics (.250 BA, .320 OBP, .430 SLG). Rockies are 39-98 with a 5.97 ERA and weaker offense (.238 BA, .296 OBP, .392 SLG). Cubs' recent form is much stronger, while Rockies have lost 8 of their last 10 games.
- Historically, Cubs lead 35-31 in H2H with half of Cubs' wins on Rocky's home turf. Recent meetings show tight scores, but Cubs won last matchup 4-3.
- No major injuries reported for either side impacting starting pitchers or key hitters.
- Coors Field's hitter-friendly altitude benefits Rockies' offense, but Cubs' strong pitching staff mitigates this advantage. The game is on artificial turf, neutralizing some Rockies' home edge.
- Cubs remain in playoff hunt seeking important wins; Rockies are out of contention aiming to improve morale and finish strong.
Odds and Predictions
Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
---|---|---|---|
Moneyline | Chicago Cubs -255 / Colorado Rockies +210 | Chicago Cubs | β β β β β 75% |
Spread | Chicago Cubs -1.5 -170 / Colorado Rockies +1.5 140 | Chicago Cubs -1.5 | β β β β β 72% |
Over/under | Over 11 -115 / Under 11 -105 | Over 11 | β β β ββ 65% |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
Market | EV Pick |
---|---|
Moneyline | Chicago Cubs -5% |
Spread | N/A |
Over/Under | Over 11 16% |
π₯ Best Value Pick: Over 11 at 16% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 18.3% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Chicago Cubs to win straight up (moneyline), covering the -1.5 run line, with the game going over 11 total runs scored.
Predicted Score: Cubs 7 – Rockies 3