Match Analysis: Cleveland Guardians vs Miami Marlins - Prediction
Match Details
- Date: 2025-08-13
- Time: 10:40 PM UTC
- Location: Progressive Field, Cleveland, OH
Game Overview
The Cleveland Guardians host the Miami Marlins in an MLB matchup with both teams coming off recent form swings. Cleveland is favored at home with pitcher Gavin Williams (7-4, 3.17 ERA) starting against Miami's Eury Perez (4-3, 3.25 ERA).
Key Factors to Consider
- Guardians hold a 62-56 record, showing strong home performance and generally consistent hitting and pitching. Marlins are 57-62, struggling recently with a 4-game losing streak, but have a potent offense led by Kyle Stowers and Agustin Ramirez.
- Recent series favored Cleveland with a close 4-3 win in the opener. Both starting pitchers have no prior career matchups against the opposing team.
- No significant injury concerns reported impacting starting pitchers or key offensive players for either team.
- Game played at Cleveland's home ballpark with typical late summer weather expected. Guardians have home-field advantage and recent momentum.
- Guardians are pushing for a stronger playoff position and motivated to secure home wins. Marlins aim to stop their losing streak but face an uphill battle on the road.
Odds and Predictions
Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
---|---|---|---|
Moneyline | Cleveland -127, Miami +115 | Cleveland Guardians | β β β β β 75% |
Spread | Cleveland -1.5 +163, Miami +1.5 -187 | Miami Marlins +1.5 | β β β ββ 60% |
Over/under | Over 7.5 -120, Under 7.5 +100 | Under 7.5 runs | β β β ββ 65% |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
Market | EV Pick |
---|---|
Moneyline | Cleveland Guardians 9% |
Spread | N/A |
Over/Under | Under 7.5 20% |
π₯ Best Value Pick: Under 7.5 at 20% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 20% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Moneyline: Cleveland Guardians win; Spread: Miami Marlins +1.5; Over/Under: Under 7.5 runs
Predicted Score: Guardians 4, Marlins 2
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