Match Analysis: Chicago White Sox vs Philadelphia Phillies – Prediction
Match Details
- Date: 2025-07-30
- Time: 6:11 PM UTC
- Location: Rate Field, Chicago, Illinois
Game Overview
The Philadelphia Phillies (61-46) visit the Chicago White Sox (39-69) at Rate Field. Phillies are the stronger team overall with better season performance, but White Sox have shown strong home pitching and recent form.
Key Factors to Consider
- Phillies boast a 61-46 record with solid pitching (3.76 ERA) and hitting (.255 AVG). White Sox are struggling with 39-69 but have won six straight games with Houser pitching, showing improved form at home (1.38 ERA in 32.2 home innings).
- In last five starts of Phillies' Walker vs. White Sox, he is 3-2 with a 3.64 ERA. Houser has a weaker career record (1-2, 5.00 ERA) against Phillies. Previous games have seen close results.
- No significant injuries reported impacting key starters noted here.
- Game played at White Sox home, Rate Field, possibly increasing Houser's effectiveness. Weather and other physical conditions are neutral or not reported as impactful.
- Phillies aim to continue strong season momentum and build on recent wins. White Sox motivated by recent home winning streak and strong pitching performances from Houser.
Odds and Predictions
Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
---|---|---|---|
Moneyline | Chicago White Sox +120, Philadelphia Phillies -142 | Philadelphia Phillies | β β β β β 72% |
Spread | Chicago White Sox +1.5 -140, Philadelphia Phillies -1.5 +116 | Chicago White Sox +1.5 | β β β ββ 65% |
Over/under | Over 9 -105, Under 9 -115 | Under 9 | β β β ββ 68% |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
Market | EV Pick |
---|---|
Moneyline | Philadelphia Phillies -8% |
Spread | N/A |
Over/Under | Under 9 5% |
π₯ Best Value Pick: Under 9 at 5% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 5.4% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Philadelphia Phillies moneyline win, White Sox +1.5 on spread, Under 9 runs total
Predicted Score: Phillies 4 – White Sox 3