Match Analysis: Chicago Cubs vs Washington Nationals – Prediction
Match Details
- Date: 2025-09-07
- Time: 6:21 PM UTC
- Location: Wrigley Field, Chicago, Illinois
Game Overview
The Chicago Cubs, with an 81-61 record, are solid favorites hosting the struggling 57-84 Washington Nationals. Cubs have shown strong recent form and a more effective pitching staff, while the Nationals have struggled notably on the road.
Key Factors to Consider
- Cubs have won 3 of their last 5 games and stand second in the NL Central with a 3.87 ERA pitching staff and potent offense led by Suzuki and Crow-Armstrong. Nationals have lost 6 of their last 7 road games, averaging only 2.5 runs in away matches recently.
- In recent matchups, Cubs have dominated the Nationals including a 14-1 win earlier in the season and a 7-6 victory in September 2024 at Wrigley.
- No major injury concerns reported for either team affecting starting pitchers or key hitters for this game.
- Game played at home in Wrigley Field benefits Cubs, with typical fan support and familiar conditions.
- Cubs are competing for playoff positioning (second in division), whereas Nationals have a losing season and less at stake.
Odds and Predictions
Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
---|---|---|---|
Moneyline | Cubs -188 / Nationals +158 | Cubs | β β β β β 75% |
Spread | Cubs -1.5 +116 / Nationals +1.5 -140 | Cubs -1.5 | β β β ββ 65% |
Over/under | Over 8.5 -102 / Under 8.5 -120 | Under 8.5 | β β β ββ 60% |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
Market | EV Pick |
---|---|
Moneyline | Chicago Cubs 3% |
Spread | N/A |
Over/Under | Under 8.5 1% |
π₯ Best Value Pick: Chicago Cubs at 3% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 5% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Chicago Cubs moneyline win
Predicted Score: Cubs 6 – Nationals 3