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Chicago Cubs vs. Tampa Bay Rays Prediction MLB in Baseball

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Match Analysis: Chicago Cubs vs Tampa Bay Rays – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-09-12
  • Time: 6:21 PM UTC
  • Location: Wrigley Field, Chicago, Illinois

Game Overview

The Chicago Cubs host the Tampa Bay Rays in a late-season MLB matchup at Wrigley Field. Cubs enter with an 83-63 record, Rays at 72-74. Cubs are favored on the moneyline and run line, with a total set at 7.5 runs.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Cubs have strong home performance, especially in day games after road wins (12-1), and good recent results at Wrigley against AL East teams. Rays have struggled on the road with 13 losses in their last 14 games against winning teams, and 5 losses in their last 6 overall, indicating poor recent form.
  • Cubs have dominated recent matchups with Rays, covering the run line in 6 of last 7 home games against them. Rays have consistently struggled at Wrigley, often trailing after early innings.
  • No major injuries reported for either team that would significantly impact starting pitchers or key offensive players for this game.
  • Game played during day at Wrigley Field where Cubs have an excellent record. Weather and stadium conditions are typical with no reported adverse effects. Cubs' starting pitcher Matthew Boyd has superior underlying metrics compared to Rays' Shane Baz, reflecting an advantage in starting pitching.
  • Cubs are pushing to maintain playoff position with a strong record, while Rays are well below .500 and out of contention, possibly affecting competitive intensity and focus.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline home: -178, away: +150 Chicago Cubs ★★★★☆ 78%
Spread home: +128, away: -154 Chicago Cubs -1.5 ★★★★☆ 70%
Over/under over: +100, under: -122 Under 7.5 ★★★☆☆ 66%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Chicago Cubs 2%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Under 7.5 9%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Under 7.5 at 9% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 11.2% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Favor Chicago Cubs to win outright and cover the run line, with a lean towards a lower scoring game under the total.

Predicted Score: Chicago Cubs 4 – Tampa Bay Rays 2


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Chicago Cubs vs. Tampa Bay Rays Prediction

Match Analysis: Chicago Cubs vs Tampa Bay Rays – Prediction Match Details Date: 2025-09-12 Time: 6:21 PM UTC Location: Wrigley Field, Chicago, Illinois Game Overview The Chicago Cubs host the Tampa Bay Rays in a late-season MLB matchup at Wrigley Field. Cubs enter with an 83-63 record, Rays at 72-74. Cubs are favored on the […]

Baseball Chicago Cubs September 12, 2025 Tampa Bay Rays

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Philadelphia Phillies vs. Kansas City Royals Prediction MLB in Baseball

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Match Analysis: Philadelphia Phillies vs Kansas City Royals – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-09-12
  • Time: 10:46 PM UTC
  • Location: Citizens Bank Park, Philadelphia, PA

Game Overview

The Philadelphia Phillies, playing at home after a strong season and recent momentum, face the Kansas City Royals who have struggled on the road. Walker Buehler starts for the Phillies with moderate recent form, while Michael Lorenzen pitches for the Royals. Offensive production is expected to be high given the park and pitching vulnerabilities.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Phillies hold an 87-60 record with strong home stats (49-23), showing recent offensive resilience. Royals sit at 74-73 overall and 34-38 away, with recent low scoring outputs.
  • Recent Phillies-Royals matchups favor Philadelphia, supported by stronger offense and better road struggles by Kansas City.
  • No major injuries reported that critically affect starting pitchers or key lineup players for either team.
  • Citizens Bank Park is moderately hitter-friendly, ranking in the top 10 for run scoring and home run factors, favoring an over scenario. Weather conditions are typical with no known adverse impact.
  • Phillies are motivated to solidify playoff positioning, having recently swept a strong Mets team; Royals are fighting to maintain above .500 but lack consistent offensive production.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Phillies -132, Royals +112 Phillies ★★★★☆ 74%
Spread Royals +1.5 -196, Phillies -1.5 162 Royals +1.5 ★★★☆☆ 65%
Over/under Over 9 -115, Under 9 -105 Over 9 ★★★★☆ 70%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Philadelphia Phillies 2%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Over 9 12%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Over 9 at 12% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 14% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Philadelphia Phillies to win on the moneyline, covering the runline is less certain but possible; the total runs scored are expected to surpass 9 given park factors and pitching vulnerabilities.

Predicted Score: Phillies 6, Royals 4


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Washington Nationals vs. Pittsburgh Pirates Prediction MLB in Baseball

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Match Analysis: Washington Nationals vs Pittsburgh Pirates – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-09-12
  • Time: 10:45 PM UTC
  • Location: Nationals Park, Washington, DC

Game Overview

The Washington Nationals host the Pittsburgh Pirates in a matchup between two of the weaker teams in the National League. Both teams are struggling offensively and have poor recent form, setting the stage for a low-scoring, close contest.

Key Factors to Consider

  • The Pirates hold a 64-83 record with a poor 22-50 road performance, while the Nationals are 60-86 and 29-42 at home. Both teams are on losing streaks and out of playoff contention, with weak offenses ranking near the bottom of MLB.
  • Pittsburgh leads the season series 3-1. Historically, the Pirates have had the edge, but this matchup features closely matched teams given pitching and offensive struggles.
  • No significant injuries to starters noted, with Brad Lord starting for the Nationals and Mitch Keller for the Pirates, both showing mixed but mediocre season performances.
  • Playing at Nationals Park gives Washington a slight home field advantage. Both teams face late-season fatigue and lack playoff motivation. weather conditions are standard with no reported impact.
  • Low playoff chances for both teams reduce motivation, but both may fight to avoid last place in their divisions. This likely leads to competitiveness rather than full effort blowouts.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Washington Nationals -107, Pittsburgh Pirates -103 Washington Nationals ★★★☆☆ 62%
Spread Washington Nationals -1.5 +189, Pittsburgh Pirates +1.5 -225 Washington Nationals -1.5 ★★★☆☆ 58%
Over/under Over 8 -107, Under 8 -113 Under 8 ★★★☆☆ 67%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Washington Nationals 1%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Under 8 13%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Under 8 at 13% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 14.8% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Moneyline: Washington Nationals to win; Spread: Nationals -1.5 runs; Over/Under: Under 8 runs

Predicted Score: Nationals 4 – Pirates 2


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Philadelphia Phillies vs. New York Mets Prediction MLB in Baseball

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Match Analysis: Philadelphia Phillies vs New York Mets – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-09-11
  • Time: 11:16 PM UTC
  • Location: Citizens Bank Park, Philadelphia, Pennsylvania

Game Overview

The Philadelphia Phillies face the New York Mets at home, with Phillies favored in moneyline and spread betting. The Phillies have better recent form and a strong home advantage, especially with pitcher Jesus Luzardo starting against Mets' David Peterson.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Phillies hold an 86-60 record, winning 4 of last 5 games; Mets are 76-70, with 0 wins in last 5. Phillies flag strong home performance while Mets look to rebound from recent heavy loss to Phillies.
  • Luzardo has a 3-1 record with 2.12 ERA versus the Mets, while Peterson is 0-2 with a 5.84 ERA against Phillies in their recent matchups. Phillies have overall edge in recent H2H.
  • No major injuries reported for either team that significantly impact lineup or starting pitching for this matchup.
  • Game played outdoors at Citizens Bank Park, Phillies’ home ballpark known for hitter-friendly conditions, which could aid scoring. No adverse weather expected.
  • Phillies aim to consolidate playoff positioning with a win at home; Mets seek redemption and improvement after recent slump and heavy loss against same opponent.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Philadelphia Phillies -136, New York Mets +116 Philadelphia Phillies ★★★★☆ 72%
Spread Philadelphia Phillies -1.5 +140, New York Mets +1.5 -170 Philadelphia Phillies -1.5 ★★★☆☆ 65%
Over/under Over 8.5 -108, Under 8.5 -112 Over 8.5 runs ★★★☆☆ 58%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Philadelphia Phillies 2%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Over 8.5 6%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Over 8.5 at 6% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 6.4% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Philadelphia Phillies to win on the moneyline

Predicted Score: Philadelphia Phillies 6 – New York Mets 3


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Cleveland Guardians vs. Kansas City Royals Prediction MLB in Baseball

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Match Analysis: Cleveland Guardians vs Kansas City Royals – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-09-11
  • Time: 11:16 PM UTC
  • Location: Progressive Field, Cleveland, Ohio

Game Overview

The Cleveland Guardians host the Kansas City Royals in the 4th game of their series, with the Royals leading 2-1. The Guardians, favored at home, start Gavin Williams against Royals' Stephen Kolek. The matchup features teams with similar records near .500, both displaying balanced offensive and pitching stats.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Guardians have a slightly better recent record at home and perform well as favorites (-134 moneyline, 16-7 when favored at similar lines). Their pitching staff holds a 3.87 ERA with Williams at 3.17 ERA. Royals batters like Bobby Witt Jr. and Pasquantino provide solid offensive output but their pitching ERA is slightly better (3.67).
  • In this series, the Royals currently lead 2-1, but overall Cleveland shows a stronger margin historically. Stats show Guardians with a .225 team batting average and solid OPS, while Royals are comparable at .244 BA.
  • No reported key injuries directly impacting starting pitching or core lineup for either team. Both lineups appear healthy and at full strength.
  • Playing at Progressive Field gives Guardians a home-field advantage. Weather and other external elements are expected to be neutral.
  • Guardians, on the cusp of playoff contention, are motivated to defend home turf and regain lead in series. Royals look to close out series strongly, adding competitive edge.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline -134 Guardians ★★★★☆ 74%
Spread Guardians -1.5 @ 150 Royals +1.5 ★★★☆☆ 65%
Over/under Over 8 runs -104 / Under 8 runs -118 Under 8 runs ★★★★☆ 70%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Cleveland Guardians 5%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Under 8 7%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Under 8 at 7% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 8.4% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Cleveland Guardians moneyline

Predicted Score: Guardians 4, Royals 2


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New York Yankees vs. Detroit Tigers Prediction MLB in Baseball

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Match Analysis: New York Yankees vs Detroit Tigers – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-09-11
  • Time: 11:06 PM UTC
  • Location: Yankee Stadium, The Bronx, New York

Game Overview

The New York Yankees host the Detroit Tigers in a critical late-season MLB matchup. The Yankees are favored at home with their key offensive stars and a reliable starting pitcher, while the Tigers look to sweep the series after strong recent performances.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Yankees hold an 80-65 record, recently losing 3 of 5 but strong against AL Central teams after losses. Tigers lead AL Central at 84-62, showing strong recent form with 3 wins in last 4 games.
  • Detroit won the first two games of this series decisively, but Yankees have historical strength at home and confidence bouncing back after losses.
  • No significant injuries reported for either team that impact starting lineups or key players in this game.
  • Game at Yankee Stadium favors Yankees; Tigers have struggled in night games here after wins. Weather and other external factors are typical for September in New York, no adverse impact.
  • Yankees aim to solidify playoff positioning and respond strongly after losses. Tigers try to maintain AL Central lead and sweep the Yankees, vital for postseason momentum.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Detroit Tigers: +134, New York Yankees: -158 New York Yankees ★★★★☆ 72%
Spread Detroit Tigers +1.5: -160, New York Yankees -1.5: +132 New York Yankees -1.5 ★★★☆☆ 68%
Over/under Over 8.5: -120, Under 8.5: -102 Over 8.5 ★★★☆☆ 64%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline New York Yankees -0%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Over 8.5 5%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Over 8.5 at 5% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 5.4% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

New York Yankees to win moneyline and cover the -1.5 run spread, with the game going over 8.5 total runs.

Predicted Score: Yankees 5 – Tigers 4


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Miami Marlins vs. Washington Nationals Prediction MLB in Baseball

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Match Analysis: Miami Marlins vs Washington Nationals – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-09-11
  • Time: 10:41 PM UTC
  • Location: loanDepot park, Miami, Florida

Game Overview

The Miami Marlins host the Washington Nationals with Miami as a slight favorite on the moneyline and run line, starting with Ryan Weathers and MacKenzie Gore as pitchers. The matchup favors the Marlins given home advantage, better pitching, and recent form discrepancies.

Key Factors to Consider

  • The Marlins hold a 67-79 season record and have shown stronger recent results against the Nationals, who are 60-85. Miami's pitching and hitting have been more consistent, while Washington has struggled with a 5.30 ERA and 1.43 WHIP over this season.
  • In their recent series, Miami won decisively including an 11-9 and 11-4 victory. Washington has had difficulty containing Miami's offense and has been outperformed in pitching matchups against them.
  • No significant injuries reported that would drastically impact either starting pitcher or major offensive contributors for this game.
  • Playing at loanDepot park provides Miami with clear home field advantage. Weather conditions are typical for Miami in September and unlikely to greatly affect gameplay.
  • Both teams are out of playoff contention; however, Miami aims to salvage pride at home with a better overall record, providing motivation to close the season strong. Washington has been fighting late-season momentum but lacks the consistency.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline -124 for Miami, +106 for Washington Miami Marlins to win ★★★★☆ 72%
Spread Miami -1.5 at -200, Washington +1.5 at +164 Miami Marlins -1.5 ★★★☆☆ 68%
Over/under Over 8 at -106, Under 8 at -114 Under 8 runs ★★★☆☆ 60%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Miami Marlins 12%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Under 8 9%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Miami Marlins at 12% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 14.9% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Bet on Miami Marlins moneyline for a confident outright win, with a close game expected under the total runs line.

Predicted Score: Miami Marlins 5, Washington Nationals 3


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Toronto Blue Jays vs. Houston Astros Prediction MLB in Baseball

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Match Analysis: Toronto Blue Jays vs Houston Astros – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-09-11
  • Time: 7:08 PM UTC
  • Location: Rogers Centre, Toronto, Ontario

Game Overview

Toronto Blue Jays host the Houston Astros in the final game of their three-game series with both teams splitting the first two games closely. The Blue Jays hold a slight edge in overall season performance and home dominance.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Toronto Blue Jays are 83-62, strong at home with a +22 games over .500 record; Astros are 79-67, about .500 on the road. Toronto's pitching staff has a 4.22 ERA, 1.27 WHIP, and .241 opponent batting average, while the Astros have been inconsistent this season.
  • The series is currently split 1-1. Toronto won the first game 4-3 while Houston took the second 3-2, both tight contests pointing to closely matched teams.
  • No major injuries reported that will significantly impact starting pitchers Kevin Gausman (TOR) or Cristian Javier (HOU), both scheduled starters for this game.
  • Game played indoors at Rogers Centre eliminates weather impact. Blue Jays enjoy home crowd advantage in this crucial late-season game.
  • Both teams are jockeying for playoff positioning, but Toronto leads in division standings and appears more motivated to maintain home field advantage in October.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Toronto Blue Jays: -162, Houston Astros: +136 Toronto Blue Jays ★★★★☆ 72%
Spread Toronto Blue Jays -1.5 (132), Houston Astros +1.5 (-160) Toronto Blue Jays -1.5 ★★★☆☆ 65%
Over/under Over 8.5 (-106), Under 8.5 (-114) Under 8.5 ★★★☆☆ 62%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Toronto Blue Jays -3%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Under 8.5 5%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Under 8.5 at 5% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 5.8% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Toronto Blue Jays moneyline

Predicted Score: Toronto Blue Jays 4, Houston Astros 2


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Chicago White Sox vs. Tampa Bay Rays Prediction MLB in Baseball

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Match Analysis: Chicago White Sox vs Tampa Bay Rays – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-09-11
  • Time: 6:10 PM UTC
  • Location: Rate Field, Chicago, Illinois

Game Overview

Tampa Bay Rays (72-73) visit Chicago White Sox (56-90) late in the MLB season. Rays are slight favorites with superior pitching and better overall record. White Sox have shown recent form improvement at home and won the last home game in the series.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Rays have a 3.87 pitching ERA and a solid lineup led by Yandy Diaz and Junior Caminero. White Sox have a weaker offense with .236 batting average and a 4.25 team ERA but have won 8 of last 10 games overall and are 31-43 at home.
  • The two teams are tied 1-1 in this series. White Sox won the previous home game. White Sox have historically struggled as underdogs but are currently showing form improvements.
  • No significant injuries reported impacting either starting pitcher or key hitters for both teams.
  • Game played in Chicago at Rate Field favors White Sox. Weather likely neutral. Rays travel schedule ahead but manageable. No notable external disruptions.
  • Rays fighting to maintain playoff contention with a near .500 record; White Sox out of playoff race but motivated by recent upset wins and playing at home.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline home: +130, away: -143 Tampa Bay Rays ★★★★☆ 70%
Spread home: -137, away: +117 Tampa Bay Rays -1.5 ★★★☆☆ 65%
Over/under over: -125, under: 105 Over 8 runs ★★★☆☆ 62%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Tampa Bay Rays -1%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Over 8 1%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Over 8 at 1% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 1% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Bet Tampa Bay Rays moneyline, bet Rays -1.5 spread, bet over 8 runs total

Predicted Score: Tampa Bay Rays 5 – Chicago White Sox 3


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Baltimore Orioles vs. Pittsburgh Pirates Prediction MLB in Baseball

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Match Analysis: Baltimore Orioles vs Pittsburgh Pirates – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-09-11
  • Time: 5:06 PM UTC
  • Location: Oriole Park at Camden Yards, Baltimore, Maryland

Game Overview

The Baltimore Orioles (68-77) host the Pittsburgh Pirates (64-82) in the final game of a three-game series. Orioles are favored to win but face pitching challenges. The Pirates are underdogs with strong recent pitching from Johan Oviedo.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Orioles have won 7 of their last 8 games overall and lead the series 2-0. Baltimore's offense is solid but starting pitcher Cade Povich has a 5.16 ERA and an underwhelming 3-7 record. Pirates have struggled overall but Johan Oviedo (2-0, 2.70 ERA) has been effective as a starter.
  • Orioles currently lead the series 2-0 with close wins (3-2 and 2-1). Historically, Orioles hold a slight edge, but games have been low scoring and tightly contested.
  • No major injury concerns reported for either side affecting starting pitching or key hitters.
  • The game is played at Camden Yards, a hitter-friendly park favoring the Orioles' offense. Weather and other external conditions are expected neutral.
  • Orioles, still mathematically in playoff contention, are strongly motivated to sweep the series. Pirates have less at stake but could play spoiler with quality pitching.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline home: -142, away: +120 Pittsburgh Pirates ★★★☆☆ 65%
Spread home: +138, away: -166 Pittsburgh Pirates +1.5 ★★★★☆ 70%
Over/under over: -122, under: +100 Over 8.5 runs ★★★☆☆ 60%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Baltimore Orioles 21%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Over 8.5 6%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Baltimore Orioles at 21% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 17.5% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Pirates moneyline

Predicted Score: Orioles 5 – Pirates 6


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