Match Analysis: Chicago Cubs vs Boston Red Sox – Prediction
Match Details
- Date: 2025-07-18
- Time: 6:21 PM UTC
- Location: Wrigley Field, Chicago, Illinois
Game Overview
The Chicago Cubs host the Boston Red Sox in a high-stakes interleague matchup featuring solid playoff-contending teams. Cubs hold a slight advantage at home facing the Red Sox's red-hot squad with strong momentum.
Key Factors to Consider
- Cubs have a 57-39 record and strong home performance; Red Sox at 53-45 on a 10-game winning streak, riding confidence and momentum.
- Close recent encounters; Cubs slight favorites with 54% win probability vs Boston 46%. Starting pitching duel favors Red Sox's Giolito (6-1, 3.36 ERA) over Cubs' Rea (7-3, 3.91 ERA).
- No key injuries reported impacting starting pitchers or major lineup players for either team.
- Game played at Wrigley Field giving Cubs home-field advantage; no adverse weather or external disruptions expected.
- Both teams vying for playoff positioning; Red Sox motivated to continue streak and close AL East gap; Cubs aiming to maintain NL Central lead.
Odds and Predictions
Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
---|---|---|---|
Moneyline | Boston Red Sox +114, Chicago Cubs -134 | Chicago Cubs | ★★★★☆ 72% |
Spread | Boston Red Sox +1.5 -184, Chicago Cubs -1.5 +155 | Chicago Cubs -1.5 | ★★★☆☆ 65% |
Over/under | Over 8.5 +100, Under 8.5 -122 | Over 8.5 | ★★★☆☆ 60% |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
Market | EV Pick |
---|---|
Moneyline | Chicago Cubs 1% |
Spread | N/A |
Over/Under | Over 8.5 14% |
🔥 Best Value Pick: Over 8.5 at 14% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 14% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Chicago Cubs moneyline win
Predicted Score: Cubs 5, Red Sox 4