Match Analysis: Charleston Cougars vs UNC Wilmington Seahawks – Prediction
Match Details
- Date: 2025-05-24
- Time: 5:00 PM UTC
- Location: Charleston Cougars Home Field
Game Overview
This NCAA baseball match between the Charleston Cougars and the UNC Wilmington Seahawks features two competitive teams. Charleston has home advantage, while UNC Wilmington has shown strong resilience throughout the 2025 season with a solid record. UNC Wilmington is favored on the moneyline, suggesting expectations of a tighter and possibly defensive game.
Key Factors to Consider
- UNC Wilmington has a record of 33-22 with recent wins like 12-0 over Campbell and 5-3 over Charleston Southern. Their season has been mixed with competitive wins and close losses, reflecting a balanced team with good offensive and defensive capabilities. Charleston Cougars' detailed 2025 performance data is limited in the search results but being at home should give them an edge.
- No direct recent head-to-head match data found in the 2025 season for these teams. However, UNC Wilmington has shown strong performances against regional opponents and has edged close games, indicating competitive parity.
- No specific injury reports available from the search results, suggesting both teams likely have their key players available for the match.
- The game is played at Charleston, giving the Cougars home ground advantage. Weather and other external conditions are not specified but typically can influence pitching and hitting dynamics in baseball.
- Late May signifies conference or postseason push, increasing stakes and motivation for both teams. UNC Wilmington's recent strong season performance may give them psychological momentum, while Charleston will push hard on home turf to secure a win.
Odds and Predictions
| Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | Charleston Cougars: +145, UNC Wilmington Seahawks: -188 | UNC Wilmington Seahawks to win | β β β β β 70% |
| Spread | Charleston Cougars: 1.5 at -125, UNC Wilmington Seahawks: -1.5 at -105 | UNC Wilmington to cover the -1.5 spread | β β β ββ 65% |
| Over/under | Over: 11 at -115, Under: 11 at -115 | Under 11 runs total | β β β ββ 55% |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
| Market | EV Pick |
|---|---|
| Moneyline | UNC Wilmington Seahawks -8% |
| Spread | N/A |
| Over/Under | Under 11 3% |
π₯ Best Value Pick: Under 11 at 3% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 3.3% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Given UNC Wilmington's slightly better recent performance and odds favoring them, they are predicted to win narrowly with Charleston keeping the game competitive due to home advantage.
Predicted Score: UNC Wilmington Seahawks 6 – Charleston Cougars 4