Match Analysis: Boston Red Sox vs New York Yankees – Prediction
Match Details
- Date: 2025-06-13
- Time: 11:11 PM UTC
- Location: Fenway Park
Game Overview
The New York Yankees face off against the Boston Red Sox at Fenway Park. The Yankees currently lead the AL East by 9.5 games, while the Red Sox are in fourth place. The probable starters are Ryan Yarbrough for the Yankees and Garrett Crochet for the Red Sox. The Red Sox have a home advantage and are favored in the moneyline.
Key Factors to Consider
- The Yankees have a strong offense, led by Aaron Judge, while the Red Sox have a solid rotation with Garrett Crochet performing well.
- Historically, both teams have had intense rivalries, but recent data suggests the Yankees have been performing better this season.
- There are no significant injury reports affecting the starting lineup for this game.
- Home field advantage often plays a significant role in Red Sox games, but the Yankees' strong performance this season could offset this.
- The Red Sox are highly motivated to trim the Yankees' lead in the AL East.
Odds and Predictions
Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
---|---|---|---|
Moneyline | Boston Red Sox: -144, New York Yankees: 122 | Boston Red Sox | ★★★☆☆ 65% |
Spread | Boston Red Sox: -1.5 140, New York Yankees: 1.5 -170 | New York Yankees +1.5 | ★★★☆☆ 55% |
Over/under | Over: 8.5 -106, Under: 8.5 -114 | Under 8.5 | ★★★☆☆ 60% |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
Market | EV Pick |
---|---|
Moneyline | Boston Red Sox -0% |
Spread | N/A |
Over/Under | Under 8.5 3% |
🔥 Best Value Pick: Under 8.5 at 3% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 3.7% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Based on the current form and home advantage, the Red Sox are likely to win this game.
Predicted Score: Boston Red Sox 4, New York Yankees 3