Match Analysis: Boston Red Sox vs Colorado Rockies – Prediction
Match Details
- Date: 2025-07-09
- Time: 11:11 PM UTC
- Location: Fenway Park, Boston, MA
Game Overview
The Boston Red Sox and Colorado Rockies face off again after the Red Sox dominated the previous encounter on July 7, 2025, with a convincing 9-3 win at Fenway Park. The Red Sox have shown strong offensive capabilities and home field advantage, while the Rockies have struggled to contain Boston's lineup in recent matchups.
Key Factors to Consider
- Boston Red Sox displayed solid batting and pitching in their last meeting, scoring 9 runs on 14 hits and limiting Rockies to 3 runs. Their bullpen secured the win with Richard Fitts improving to 1-3 while Colorado's starter Austin Gomber fell to 0-2. Rockies have been inconsistent in offense and pitching throughout the season, especially on the road.
- Recent head-to-head favors Boston, winning the previous game decisively at home. The Red Sox have had more success at Fenway against Colorado.
- No specific injuries were reported for either team in the latest available data for this matchup.
- Fenway Park provides a strong home advantage for Boston, known for its hitter-friendly environment. Weather and other game conditions have not been reported as significant factors here.
- Boston looks motivated to maintain dominance at home and improve their standings mid-season. Colorado is seeking to rebound from the recent loss and improve their performance on the road.
Odds and Predictions
Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
---|---|---|---|
Moneyline | Boston Red Sox: -330, Colorado Rockies: 265 | Boston Red Sox win | β β β β β 85% |
Spread | Boston Red Sox -1.5: -152, Colorado Rockies +1.5: 126 | Boston Red Sox -1.5 | β β β β β 80% |
Over/under | Over 9: -118, Under 9: -104 | Over 9 runs | β β β β β 70% |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
Market | EV Pick |
---|---|
Moneyline | Boston Red Sox -2% |
Spread | N/A |
Over/Under | Over 9 20% |
π₯ Best Value Pick: Over 9 at 20% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 23.7% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Boston Red Sox are projected to win the game comfortably, continuing their recent form and home advantage.
Predicted Score: Boston Red Sox 7 – 3 Colorado Rockies