Match Analysis: Baltimore Orioles vs Seattle Mariners – Prediction
Match Details
- Date: 2025-08-13
- Time: 10:35 PM UTC
- Location: Oriole Park at Camden Yards, Baltimore
Game Overview
The Baltimore Orioles host the Seattle Mariners in a key MLB matchup. Seattle leads in standings pushing toward the playoffs while Baltimore struggles near the bottom of the AL East. The match features strong Seattle pitching and a less productive Baltimore offense.
Key Factors to Consider
- Baltimore Orioles are on a slump, losing 7 of their last 10 games, averaging 2.3 runs and allowing 4.5 runs per game. Seattle Mariners stay strong at 67-53, with a 3.77 ERA pitching staff and consistent batting performance.
- Recent encounter ended 1-0 in favor of Seattle. The teams have near equal all-time wins (Orioles 52, Mariners 51). Baltimore averages 4.26 runs/game vs Seattle's 4.51.
- No significant injury reports impacting key starting pitchers or lineup for either team at this time.
- Game played at Baltimoreβs home park, but Seattle's starting pitcher Logan Gilbert has historically performed well against Baltimore.
- Seattle pushing for playoff positioning keeps team highly motivated; Baltimore fighting to climb standings but recent form lowers confidence.
Odds and Predictions
Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
---|---|---|---|
Moneyline | Baltimore +124, Seattle -137 | Seattle Mariners | β β β β β 72% |
Spread | Baltimore +1.5 -137, Seattle -1.5 +117 | Seattle Mariners -1.5 | β β β ββ 65% |
Over/under | Over 8.5 -110, Under 8.5 -110 | Over 8.5 | β β β ββ 60% |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
Market | EV Pick |
---|---|
Moneyline | Seattle Mariners 4% |
Spread | N/A |
Over/Under | Over 8.5 11% |
π₯ Best Value Pick: Over 8.5 at 11% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 11.8% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Seattle Mariners to win straight up, cover the -1.5 run spread, and for the game to go over 8.5 total runs.
Predicted Score: Seattle Mariners 5 – Baltimore Orioles 3