Match Analysis: Baltimore Orioles vs Pittsburgh Pirates - Prediction
Match Details
- Date: 2025-09-09
- Time: 10:36 PM UTC
- Location: Oriole Park at Camden Yards, Baltimore, Maryland
Game Overview
The Baltimore Orioles host the Pittsburgh Pirates with both teams out of playoff contention but looking to finish the season strong. Orioles have shown a recent surge in form, winning 5 of their last 6 games, whereas the Pirates are struggling, recently swept by the Brewers and on a three-game losing streak.
Key Factors to Consider
- Orioles have improved significantly recently with strong pitching performances and a balanced offense. Pirates have struggled offensively and with pitching, giving up 10 runs in their last game.
- Orioles have been dominant at home against the Pirates, with Pittsburgh losing recent night games against losing record NL Central teams, including Baltimore.
- No major injuries reported affecting starting lineups or key rotation players for either team.
- Game played in favorable weather conditions β mostly sunny, 74Β°F, minimal wind, no precipitation which favors balanced gameplay.
- Both teams are out of playoff contention; Orioles appear more motivated to capitalize on home advantage and momentum to finish on a winning note.
Odds and Predictions
Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
---|---|---|---|
Moneyline | Baltimore Orioles -158, Pittsburgh Pirates +134 | Baltimore Orioles | β β β β β 75% |
Spread | Baltimore Orioles -1.5 +122, Pittsburgh Pirates +1.5 -146 | Baltimore Orioles -1.5 | β β β ββ 68% |
Over/under | Over 8 -122, Under 8 +100 | Under 8 runs | β β β ββ 60% |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
Market | EV Pick |
---|---|
Moneyline | Baltimore Orioles 6% |
Spread | N/A |
Over/Under | Under 8 20% |
π₯ Best Value Pick: Under 8 at 20% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 20% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Baltimore Orioles to win outright on the moneyline, cover the -1.5 run spread, and the total to go under 8 runs.
Predicted Score: Baltimore Orioles 5, Pittsburgh Pirates 3
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