Match Analysis: Baltimore Orioles vs New York Yankees – Prediction
Match Details
- Date: 2025-09-21
- Time: 5:36 PM UTC
- Location: Oriole Park at Camden Yards, Baltimore, Maryland
Game Overview
The New York Yankees (86-68) visit the Baltimore Orioles (73-81) for a late-season MLB matchup. Yankees are pushing for playoff positioning, while the Orioles are out of contention but can play spoiler. Probable starters are Cam Schlittler (Yankees, 3-3, 3.41 ERA) and Kyle Bradish (Orioles, 1-1, 2.45 ERA).
Key Factors to Consider
- Yankees have won 4 of their last 5 games showing strong form; Orioles lost 2 of their last 3. Yankees more motivated and in better overall recent form.
- Recent encounters favor the Yankees with a slight edge; Yankees have better depth and consistency in hitting and pitching on these matchups.
- No significant injuries reported to key players on either side affecting this game. Both pitchers are healthy and expected to start.
- Game played at Orioles' home park with typical late-September weather for Baltimore, generally neutral for run scoring.
- Yankees motivated to secure a playoff spot and correct recent form. Orioles motivated to spoil Yankees' efforts but less urgency due to season standings.
Odds and Predictions
Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
---|---|---|---|
Moneyline | Baltimore Orioles: +114, New York Yankees: -134 | New York Yankees | β β β β β 74% |
Spread | Baltimore Orioles +1.5: -137, New York Yankees -1.5: +114 | New York Yankees -1.5 | β β β ββ 68% |
Over/under | Over 8.5: -105, Under 8.5: -115 | Under 8.5 runs | β β β ββ 62% |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
Market | EV Pick |
---|---|
Moneyline | New York Yankees 14% |
Spread | N/A |
Over/Under | Under 8.5 3% |
π₯ Best Value Pick: New York Yankees at 14% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 18.1% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Moneyline: Yankees win; Spread: Yankees -1.5; Over/Under: Under 8.5 runs
Predicted Score: Yankees 5 – Orioles 2