Match Analysis: Baltimore Orioles vs New York Mets – Prediction
Match Details
- Date: 2025-07-10
- Time: 9:06 PM UTC
- Location: Oriole Park at Camden Yards
Game Overview
The Baltimore Orioles host the New York Mets in a crucial MLB matchup. The Orioles are currently favored on the moneyline, while the Mets are favored on the run line. Recent form and starting pitcher matchups will play a significant role in determining the outcome.
Key Factors to Consider
- The Orioles have been solid at home, but the Mets have shown strong form on the road. The Mets' starting pitcher, David Peterson, has a favorable ERA compared to the Orioles' Charlie Morton.
- Historical data shows mixed results, but recent trends suggest the Orioles have covered well as underdogs against NL East opponents.
- No significant injuries reported for either team.
- Weather conditions and crowd support could influence the game, but detailed weather forecasts are not available.
- Both teams are motivated, with the Mets seeking to maintain their winning streak and the Orioles looking to improve their home record.
Odds and Predictions
Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
---|---|---|---|
Moneyline | Orioles: -116, Mets: -102 | Orioles | β β β ββ 53% |
Spread | Orioles +1.5: -182, Mets -1.5: +150 | Orioles +1.5 | β β β ββ 58% |
Over/under | Over 10.5: -110, Under 10.5: -110 | Under 10.5 | β β β ββ 51% |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
Market | EV Pick |
---|---|
Moneyline | Baltimore Orioles -3% |
Spread | N/A |
Over/Under | Under 10.5 -3% |
π₯ Best Value Pick: Under 10.5 at -3% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 0% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Based on recent trends and starting pitcher metrics, the Mets have a slight edge.
Predicted Score: Orioles 5, Mets 3