Match Analysis: Baltimore Orioles vs Los Angeles Dodgers – Prediction
Match Details
- Date: 2025-09-07
- Time: 5:36 PM UTC
- Location: Oriole Park at Camden Yards, Baltimore, Maryland
Game Overview
The Los Angeles Dodgers (78-64) visit the Baltimore Orioles (66-76) in the final game of their three-game series. Dodgers are favored with Clayton Kershaw starting, known for strong performances, while Orioles counter with Tomoyuki Sugano who has been solid but less dominant. Orioles have already won two close games in this series at home, showing resilience.
Key Factors to Consider
- Dodgers have a better overall record and pitching consistency with Kershaw (9-2, 3.28 ERA), whereas Orioles have struggled overall but have won five games in a row including two in this series. Orioles pitching staff's ERA is higher (4.66) and offense moderate with .241 batting average.
- Orioles have taken the first two games of the series narrowly, indicating recent momentum despite being underdogs. Dodgers have historically dominated but recent H2H form favors Orioles.
- No critical injuries reported for either team that affect starting pitchers or key hitters based on available info.
- The game is played at Camden Yards, Oriolesβ home field, giving them a slight home-field advantage. Weather or other external factors not reported as significant.
- Orioles, out of playoff contention, are motivated to finish strong and spoil Dodgersβ series sweep hopes. Dodgers aim to maintain momentum for a playoff push, playing their ace pitcher to close the series.
Odds and Predictions
Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
---|---|---|---|
Moneyline | 134 | Baltimore Orioles | β β β ββ 65% |
Spread | -118 | Baltimore Orioles +1.5 | β β β β β 70% |
Over/under | -114 | Under 9 | β β β ββ 68% |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
Market | EV Pick |
---|---|
Moneyline | Los Angeles Dodgers 17% |
Spread | N/A |
Over/Under | Under 9 9% |
π₯ Best Value Pick: Los Angeles Dodgers at 17% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 12.7% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Baltimore Orioles moneyline
Predicted Score: Dodgers 3, Orioles 4