Match Analysis: Atlanta Braves vs New York Yankees – Prediction
Match Details
- Date: 2025-07-18
- Time: 11:15 PM UTC
- Location: Truist Park, Atlanta, Georgia
Game Overview
A closely matched MLB game between the favored New York Yankees and underdog Atlanta Braves at Atlanta’s home venue. The Yankees come in with a stronger recent form and a slight edge in overall performance, but the Braves have home advantage.
Key Factors to Consider
- Yankees have a 53-43 record with a strong favorite record (50-36) and recent wins (5-2 SU last 7 games), while Braves sit at 42-53 and have struggled recently (5-12 SU last 17 games). Yankees also perform better as favorites and on the road in this matchup.
- The historical data suggests Yankees have an edge, with better moneyline and spread winning percentages in relevant contests, including being 49-35 when favored at -110 or more.
- No critical injury reports reported that would heavily impact starting lineups for either team in this matchup.
- Game played at Braves’ home but Yankees have comfortable travel routine and motivation to maintain playoff push. Weather and stadium conditions typical for summer in Atlanta, no adverse impacts expected.
- Yankees motivated by favorable position and consistent winning pattern as favorites; Braves motivated to defend home turf but recent form and record suggest lower confidence.
Odds and Predictions
Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
---|---|---|---|
Moneyline | Atlanta Braves: -110, New York Yankees: -110 | New York Yankees | ★★★★☆ 72% |
Spread | Atlanta Braves +1.5: -169, New York Yankees -1.5: +138 | New York Yankees -1.5 | ★★★☆☆ 65% |
Over/under | Over 8.5: -105, Under 8.5: -116 | Over 8.5 | ★★★☆☆ 68% |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
Market | EV Pick |
---|---|
Moneyline | New York Yankees 9% |
Spread | N/A |
Over/Under | Over 8.5 17% |
🔥 Best Value Pick: Over 8.5 at 17% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 18% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
New York Yankees to win outright with a spread cover and over 8.5 total runs scored in the game.
Predicted Score: Yankees 5 – Braves 3