Match Analysis: Atlanta Braves vs Los Angeles Dodgers - Prediction
Match Details
- Date: May 3, 2025
- Time: 11:15 PM UTC
- Location: Truist Park, Atlanta, GA
Game Overview
The Los Angeles Dodgers (21-10, 1st NL West) face the Atlanta Braves (14-16, 3rd NL East) in a matchup featuring Dodgers' rookie Roki Sasaki (0-1, 3.55 ERA) against Braves' Spencer Schwellenbach (1-2, 2.87 ERA). Recent results show the Dodgers as winners of five straight, while the Braves are coming off a loss.
Key Factors to Consider
- Dodgers rank 1st in their division with strong road performance (6-7 away), while Braves struggle at home (6-13 home record). Dodgers' recent 5-game win streak contrasts with Atlanta's inconsistent form (7-3 in last 10, but 14-16 overall).
- Recent direct matchup data unavailable, but Dodgers' superior record and momentum suggest an edge.
- No injury updates available in provided data.
- Game likely sold out according to ticketing pages, with standard ballpark conditions (no weather impact mentioned).
- Dodgers aiming to extend division lead, Braves needing to stabilize home performance.
Odds and Predictions
Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
---|---|---|---|
Moneyline | ATL -112 / LAD -104 | LAD moneyline | ★★★☆☆ 63% |
Spread | ATL +1.5 (-182) / LAD -1.5 (+150) | LAD -1.5 (+150) | ★★★☆☆ 55% |
Over/under | Over 8.5 (-105) / Under 8.5 (-115) | Under 8.5 | ★★★☆☆ 65% |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
Market | EV Pick |
---|---|
Moneyline | Los Angeles Dodgers 4% |
Spread | N/A |
Over/Under | Under 8.5 8% |
🔥 Best Value Pick: Under 8.5 at 8% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 9.7% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Dodgers win (60-65% confidence) based on superior record, pitching matchup (Sasaki's high strikeout potential vs Schwellenbach's control), and recent form. Expect a low-scoring game given pitchers' WHIPs (Sasaki 1.42, Schwellenbach 0.96).
Predicted Score: Dodgers 4-2 Braves
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