Match Analysis: St. Louis Cardinals vs Oakland Athletics – Prediction

Match Details

• Date: 2025-09-01
• Time: 6:16 PM UTC
• Location: Busch Stadium

Game Overview

The St. Louis Cardinals (68-70) host the Oakland Athletics (63-75) in a late-season MLB game with both teams struggling below .500. The Cardinals are slight favorites at home with starting pitcher Sonny Gray (12-7, 4.19 ERA) going against Oakland’s Luis Morales, a rookie with limited MLB experience but an impressive 1.19 ERA in his 2-0 season record. Offensively, both teams have similar batting metrics but Oakland has shown slightly more run production in recent face-offs.

Key Factors to Consider

• Cardinals show inconsistent form with a 5-5 record in the last 10 games and a pitching staff ERA of 4.27, whereas Oakland has weaker pitching overall with a 4.83 ERA but boasts a respectable batting slugging percentage. Both teams have similar OBP around .316-.318.
• In the last 6 matchups, Cardinals won 4, Athletics 2, with Oakland notably winning their last encounter 6-3 in April 2024. Recent games are competitive with an average scoring margin close to 1 run. Historically, Oakland is +2.5 on the spread in 9 of their last 10 games against St. Louis.
• No major injury updates provided; starting pitchers confirmed. Morales is making his first start vs Cardinals.
• Game at Busch Stadium gives Cardinals home-field advantage. Late-season game where playoff motivation is moderate but Cardinals have a slight push to improve standing.
• Both teams below .500 with limited playoff hopes. Cardinals slightly more motivated due to home game and better recent head-to-head results.

Odds and Predictions

Category	Odds	Prediction	Confidence
Moneyline	St. Louis -148 / Oakland +126	St. Louis Cardinals	★★★★☆ 72%
Spread	St. Louis -1.5 +140 / Oakland +1.5 -170	St. Louis Cardinals -1.5	★★★☆☆ 68%
Over/under	Over 8 -106 / Under 8 -114	Under 8 runs	★★★☆☆ 65%

Top EV Betting Odds

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Market	EV Pick
Moneyline	St. Louis Cardinals -1%
Spread	N/A
Over/Under	Under 8 7%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Under 8 at 7% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 8% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

St. Louis Cardinals to win on the moneyline and cover the -1.5 spread, with the game likely finishing under 8 total runs.

Predicted Score: St. Louis Cardinals 4, Oakland Athletics 2

Match Analysis: Houston Astros vs Los Angeles Angels – Prediction

Match Details

• Date: 2025-09-01
• Time: 6:10 PM UTC
• Location: Minute Maid Park, Houston, Texas

Game Overview

This MLB matchup features the Houston Astros hosting the Los Angeles Angels. The Astros have a solid 75-62 record and are slight favorites at home, while the Angels hold a 64-72 record and have won 2 of the last 3 games in this series.

Key Factors to Consider

• Astros are 3-2 in their last 5 games but only 2-3 against the spread recently; Angels have won two of the last three games in the series, with strong pitching in the last match where the Angels allowed zero runs.
• Astros lead the season and hold a better overall record, but Angels have recent momentum with two wins in the current series.
• No major injury reports affecting starting pitchers or key players from either side noted.
• Game is outdoors in Houston with 85°F temperature, 20% chance of rain, and 5 mph wind, conditions favoring pitchers.
• Astros are pushing to secure playoff positioning and are motivated as home favorites; Angels have less at stake but may continue strong pitching to salvage the series.

Odds and Predictions

Category	Odds	Prediction	Confidence
Moneyline	Houston Astros -142, Los Angeles Angels +129	Houston Astros	★★★☆☆ 67%
Spread	Houston Astros -1.5 +147, Los Angeles Angels +1.5 -167	Los Angeles Angels +1.5	★★★☆☆ 62%
Over/under	Over 8.5 -107, Under 8.5 -113	Under 8.5	★★★☆☆ 65%

Top EV Betting Odds

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Market	EV Pick
Moneyline	Houston Astros 2%
Spread	N/A
Over/Under	Under 8.5 9%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Under 8.5 at 9% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 10.5% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Houston Astros to win moneyline, Angels +1.5 on spread, Under 8.5 runs total

Predicted Score: Houston Astros 4, Los Angeles Angels 2

Match Analysis: Boston Red Sox vs Cleveland Guardians – Prediction

Match Details

• Date: 2025-09-01
• Time: 5:35 PM UTC
• Location: Fenway Park, Boston, Massachusetts

Game Overview

The Boston Red Sox (76-62) host the Cleveland Guardians (68-67) in a pivotal late-season MLB matchup. Both teams are fighting for playoff positioning with Boston holding a stronger home record and Cleveland looking to bounce back after a recent loss.

Key Factors to Consider

• Boston holds a 42-27 home record this season, showing consistent offense and solid pitching, especially from starter Brayan Bello (10-6, 2.99 ERA). Cleveland is marginal above .500 away (33-34), with promising young pitcher Parker Messick (1-0, 0.66 ERA) making his first start against Boston.
• Boston has a slight historical edge with about 57% pregame win probability against Cleveland. Bello is 1-0 with a 3.27 ERA vs the Guardians historically. Cleveland’s offense, led by Jose Ramirez (26 HR, 68 RBI) and Kyle Manzardo, has been less consistent on the road.
• No major injury reports affecting starting pitchers or key offensive players reported for either team for this game.
• Fenway Park offers a hitter-friendly environment but recent matches suggest a tendency for lower-scoring affairs when strong pitching matchups occur. Weather and daylight conditions are favorable with no reported disruptions.
• Boston is fighting to strengthen playoff seeding in the competitive AL East, while Cleveland aims to improve its slightly above .500 record and build momentum for the final stretch.

Odds and Predictions

Category	Odds	Prediction	Confidence
Moneyline	home: -138, away: +125	Boston Red Sox	★★★★☆ 72%
Spread	home: +145, away: -165	Boston Red Sox -1.5	★★★☆☆ 65%
Over/under	over: -109, under: -111	Under 8.5	★★★☆☆ 68%

Top EV Betting Odds

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Market	EV Pick
Moneyline	Boston Red Sox 7%
Spread	N/A
Over/Under	Under 8.5 6%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Boston Red Sox at 7% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 9.6% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Moneyline: Boston Red Sox win. Spread: Boston Red Sox -1.5. Over/Under: Under 8.5 runs.

Predicted Score: Boston Red Sox 4 – Cleveland Guardians 2

Match Analysis: Cincinnati Reds vs Toronto Blue Jays – Prediction

Match Details

• Date: 2025-09-01
• Time: 5:11 PM UTC
• Location: Great American Ball Park

Game Overview

A key interleague matchup between Toronto Blue Jays (79-58) and Cincinnati Reds (69-68) at Cincinnati’s home ballpark. Reds start Hunter Greene, a strong pitcher (2.81 ERA), while Blue Jays counter with Chris Bassitt (4.14 ERA). Toronto boasts one of MLB’s best offenses, while the Reds have struggled with recent form.

Key Factors to Consider

• Blue Jays have a stronger season record, second best offense in MLB, and a reliable lineup with lower strikeout rates. Reds are inconsistent, recently 1-4 in last 5 games, both overall and against the spread.
• Bassitt is 2-1 with a 2.08 ERA against Reds historically, while Greene has a good season but faces a tough Blue Jays lineup that minimizes strikeouts effectively.
• No major injuries reported for key players on either side, squads appear near full strength.
• Game at Reds’ Great American Ball Park, hitter-friendly park conditions, clear weather, around 77°F, 0% rain chance, mild wind.
• Blue Jays pushing to maintain playoff positioning; Reds fighting to stay over .500; Blue Jays have a slight edge in motivation given standings and upcoming tougher opponents.

Odds and Predictions

Category	Odds	Prediction	Confidence
Moneyline	Cincinnati Reds: -118, Toronto Blue Jays: 100	Toronto Blue Jays	★★★★☆ 70%
Spread	Cincinnati Reds +1.5: -205, Toronto Blue Jays -1.5: 168	Toronto Blue Jays -1.5	★★★☆☆ 65%
Over/under	Over 8.5: 100, Under 8.5: -122	Over 8.5	★★★☆☆ 60%

Top EV Betting Odds

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Market	EV Pick
Moneyline	Toronto Blue Jays 6%
Spread	N/A
Over/Under	Over 8.5 10%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Over 8.5 at 10% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 10% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Toronto Blue Jays to win moneyline, cover +1.5 spread, and the game to go over 8.5 runs.

Predicted Score: Toronto Blue Jays 5 – Cincinnati Reds 4

Match Analysis: Detroit Tigers vs New York Mets – Prediction

Match Details

• Date: 2025-09-01
• Time: 5:11 PM UTC
• Location: Comerica Park, Detroit, Michigan

Game Overview

The Detroit Tigers (80-58) host the New York Mets (73-64) in a key MLB matchup with tight odds favoring the Mets slightly on the moneyline and run line. The Tigers have been uneven recently, losing 5 of their last 7 but maintain a strong season performance with solid pitching and power bats. The Mets are marginal favorites with a 1.5 run line advantage and a combined total set at 8.5 runs.

Key Factors to Consider

• Detroit's pitching staff holds a 3.80 ERA and 1.23 WHIP with potent offensive leaders in Greene and Torkelson. However, Detroit starter Charlie Morton has struggled with a 5.25 ERA this season. The Mets have a slightly better win probability (53%) and have been more consistent recently, starting Sean Manaea with a 5.01 ERA.
• Recent head-to-head info is limited, but the Mets are slight favorites historically with better form in the series, supported by a 53% pre-game win probability over the Tigers' 47%.
• No major injury updates affecting key starters or top hitters reported for either team for this game.
• Game played at Comerica Park favors Tigers slightly due to home advantage but pitching matchups and current form slightly favor the Mets.
• The Tigers hold a large division lead and may prioritize rest and rotation management, whereas the Mets are pushing to improve playoff positioning, adding slight motivational edge to Mets.

Odds and Predictions

Category	Odds	Prediction	Confidence
Moneyline	DET -102 / NYM -116	NY Mets	★★★☆☆ 65%
Spread	DET +1.5 -170 / NYM -1.5 +140	NY Mets -1.5	★★★☆☆ 62%
Over/under	Over 8.5 -114 / Under 8.5 -106	Under 8.5	★★★☆☆ 60%

Top EV Betting Odds

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Market	EV Pick
Moneyline	New York Mets 5%
Spread	N/A
Over/Under	Under 8.5 17%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Under 8.5 at 17% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 17.6% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Take the New York Mets on the moneyline for a straight win, bet on the Mets -1.5 spread, and answer under 8.5 total runs for the over/under market.

Predicted Score: NY Mets 5 – Detroit Tigers 3

Match Analysis: Washington Nationals vs Miami Marlins – Prediction

Match Details

• Date: 2025-09-01
• Time: 5:06 PM UTC
• Location: Nationals Park, Washington, D.C.

Game Overview

The Miami Marlins (65-72) visit the Washington Nationals (53-83) in a late-season matchup. Miami has a slightly better overall record and stronger offensive metrics, especially on the road. Washington struggles with pitching and is fielding a rookie starter making his MLB debut, while Miami's lineup shows moderate recent form improvements.

Key Factors to Consider

• Miami averages 4.37 runs per game overall and 4.94 runs on the road, with a recent 5-5 record in their last 10 games. Washington has a 53-83 record, scoring slightly less with a 5.37 team ERA and weaker pitching stats. Washington has lost eight straight games entering this matchup.
• Marlins have historically struggled on Mondays on the road against NL opponents, losing 21 of their last 22 such games. Nationals have recently covered the run line in 4 of 5 games following losses. This suggests Nationals have some situational resilience at home despite poor results this season.
• No notable injuries reported for starters. Washington starts Andrew Alvarez, a rookie with limited impact expected. Miami starts MacKenzie Gore, a proven pitcher with better results.
• The game takes place at Nationals Park, giving Washington some home-field advantage. Rosters are expanded; Nationals feature a rookie starter called up recently. Weather or other conditions were not reported as significant factors.
• Miami is fighting to improve their sub-.500 record and secure a better standing, whereas Washington is positioned last in the NL East with minimal playoff motivation. Miami likely has a stronger incentive to win.

Odds and Predictions

Category	Odds	Prediction	Confidence
Moneyline	106	Miami Marlins	★★★★☆ 72%
Spread	Miami Marlins +1.5 -184	Miami Marlins +1.5	★★★☆☆ 68%
Over/under	Over 9 -122 / Under 9 100	Under 9	★★★☆☆ 60%

Top EV Betting Odds

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Market	EV Pick
Moneyline	Miami Marlins 13%
Spread	N/A
Over/Under	Under 9 24%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Under 9 at 24% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 24% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Miami Marlins moneyline

Predicted Score: Miami Marlins 5 – Washington Nationals 3

Match Analysis: Philadelphia Phillies vs Atlanta Braves – Prediction

Match Details

• Date: 2025-08-31
• Time: 11:11 PM UTC
• Location: Citizens Bank Park, Philadelphia, PA

Game Overview

The Philadelphia Phillies face the Atlanta Braves in a key late-season MLB matchup at Citizens Bank Park. The Phillies hold clear advantage in recent form and standings, aiming to consolidate their NL East lead, while the Braves are under pressure to halt a losing streak.

Key Factors to Consider

• Philadelphia Phillies boast a strong 79-57 record, winning 3 straight games in this series with solid pitching performances. Their offense averages 5.6 runs per game recently. Braves have a weaker 61-75 record and are struggling to break out of a losing streak.
• Phillies lead head-to-head series historically 114-98, with 74 home wins. Recent matchup on August 31 resulted in 3-2 Phillies win. Phillies average 4.24 runs per home game compared to Braves' 4.51 runs on the road.
• No significant injuries reported for either squad that would impact starting pitching or core lineup for this game.
• Playing at the Phillies' home park favors the Phillies due to familiarity and crowd support. Weather conditions are stable with no indications of rain or wind impacting play.
• Phillies highly motivated to secure division lead and playoff positioning; Braves motivated to salvage season and stop losing streak but less incentive compared to Phillies.

Odds and Predictions

Category	Odds	Prediction	Confidence
Moneyline	Philadelphia Phillies -154, Atlanta Braves +130	Philadelphia Phillies	★★★★☆ 78%
Spread	Phillies -1.5 +136, Braves +1.5 -164	Philadelphia Phillies -1.5	★★★★☆ 72%
Over/under	Over 8.5 -122, Under 8.5 +100	Under 8.5	★★★☆☆ 65%

Top EV Betting Odds

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Market	EV Pick
Moneyline	Philadelphia Phillies -1%
Spread	N/A
Over/Under	Under 8.5 20%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Under 8.5 at 20% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 20% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Philadelphia Phillies to win moneyline, cover -1.5 run spread, and the game to go under 8.5 total runs.

Predicted Score: Phillies 4 – Braves 2

Match Analysis: Los Angeles Dodgers vs Arizona Diamondbacks – Prediction

Match Details

• Date: 2025-08-31
• Time: 8:11 PM UTC
• Location: Dodger Stadium, Los Angeles, California

Game Overview

The Los Angeles Dodgers host the Arizona Diamondbacks in a key NL West matchup. The Dodgers, with a strong home record and overall season advantage, are favorites, but Arizona’s recent form and motivation given their win streak present a competitive challenge.

Key Factors to Consider

• Dodgers hold a 77-59 record with moderate recent form (5-5 in last 10), averaging 4.1 runs/game. Diamondbacks have a 68-69 record, with a recent winning streak showing improved momentum and averaging 4.12 runs/game.
• Dodgers dominate historically with 98 wins versus Diamondbacks' 62, including 56 home wins. Diamondbacks won the most recent head-to-head 6-1, indicating potential for upset.
• No major injuries reported for either team affecting starters or key players, allowing both teams to field near full strength.
• Game played outdoors on natural grass at Dodger Stadium. No adverse weather or travel fatigue factors notable.
• Dodgers lead the division and aim to solidify playoff positioning. Diamondbacks, off a recent winning streak, are motivated to close the gap and disrupt Dodgers at home.

Odds and Predictions

Category	Odds	Prediction	Confidence
Moneyline	Arizona Diamondbacks: +188, Los Angeles Dodgers: -225	Los Angeles Dodgers	★★★★☆ 74%
Spread	Arizona Diamondbacks +1.5: -110, Los Angeles Dodgers -1.5: -110	Los Angeles Dodgers -1.5	★★★☆☆ 68%
Over/under	Over 9: -105, Under 9: -115	Over 9 runs	★★★☆☆ 60%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market	EV Pick
Moneyline	Los Angeles Dodgers -9%
Spread	N/A
Over/Under	Over 9 9%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Over 9 at 9% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 9.8% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Moneyline: Los Angeles Dodgers to win; Spread: Los Angeles Dodgers -1.5; Over/Under: Over 9 runs

Predicted Score: Dodgers 6 – Diamondbacks 3

Match Analysis: San Francisco Giants vs Baltimore Orioles – Prediction

Match Details

• Date: 2025-08-31
• Time: 8:06 PM UTC
• Location: Oracle Park, San Francisco, California

Game Overview

The San Francisco Giants host the Baltimore Orioles in a pivotal late-season MLB matchup at Oracle Park. The Giants enter as favorites with slightly better recent form and home field advantage, while the Orioles seek an upset to bolster their postseason positioning. Both teams feature key offensive weapons and solid pitching rotations, making this a competitive and strategically significant contest.

Key Factors to Consider

• The Giants have shown moderate consistency as favorites this season, winning 51.2% of such games and displaying a 53% win rate in home contests. Baltimore, as underdogs on the road, win approximately 40.7% of their games at moneyline odds longer than +120. Recent Giants form is stronger, having won their last meeting and several recent home games.
• The Giants hold a narrow advantage in recent head-to-head matchups, including a win in their last encounter. The Orioles have been competitive but are slightly behind in overall win probability with 47.6% compared to 52.4% for the Giants according to model projections.
• No significant injuries reported for either team impacting starting pitching or main offensive contributors, sustaining balanced lineup and rotation strength on both sides.
• Game played in Oracle Park favors the Giants with familiar conditions and crowd support. Weather is expected to be typical late August with no severe external impacts forecasted.
• The Giants have motivation to solidify playoff seeding as a Wild Card contender, while the Orioles aim to gain momentum and disrupt division races. Both sides have strong incentives but Giants’ home advantage adds motivational edge.

Odds and Predictions

Category	Odds	Prediction	Confidence
Moneyline	Baltimore Orioles: +118, San Francisco Giants: -138	San Francisco Giants	★★★★☆ 70%
Spread	Baltimore Orioles +1.5: -184, San Francisco Giants -1.5: +152	San Francisco Giants -1.5	★★★☆☆ 65%
Over/under	Over 8.5: +100, Under 8.5: -122	Under 8.5 runs	★★★☆☆ 60%

Top EV Betting Odds

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Market	EV Pick
Moneyline	San Francisco Giants 3%
Spread	N/A
Over/Under	Under 8.5 6%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Under 8.5 at 6% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 6.8% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

San Francisco Giants to win on the moneyline, cover the -1.5 spread, and the game to finish under 8.5 runs.

Predicted Score: Giants 5 – Orioles 3