Match Analysis: Arkansas Razorbacks vs Tennessee Volunteers – Prediction
Match Details
- Date: 2025-05-15
- Time: 11:30 PM UTC
- Location: Baum Stadium, Fayetteville, AR
Game Overview
The NCAA baseball match features the Arkansas Razorbacks hosting the Tennessee Volunteers at Baum Stadium. Both teams have strong baseball programs with Tennessee being the defending national champions and Arkansas known for a competitive schedule including historic matchups. This game is part of the 2025 college baseball season's SEC conference play with high stakes as both teams vie for postseason positioning.
Key Factors to Consider
- Arkansas Razorbacks have shown strong home performance throughout the 2025 season with several key wins, leveraging Baum Stadium's home advantage. Tennessee Volunteers come into the match with momentum from a national championship last year and a solid season start with multiple home wins and strong pitching performances.
- Recent head-to-head matchups between Arkansas and Tennessee have been competitive, with Tennessee slightly edging Arkansas in recent seasons but games often decided by a narrow margin. Both teams have quality pitching and batting lineups, making head-to-head results a good indicator of a close game.
- No significant injury reports affecting the starting lineups for either team have been made public ahead of this game, suggesting both teams will play at near full strength.
- The game is held at Baum Stadium in Fayetteville, giving Arkansas the home crowd advantage. Weather and field conditions are presumed typical for mid-May in Arkansas, with no extreme conditions forecasted to affect play.
- Tennessee Volunteers are motivated to maintain their defending champion form and secure a strong postseason seed. Arkansas Razorbacks are equally driven to leverage home advantage to gain ground in the SEC standings and push for postseason qualification.
Odds and Predictions
Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
---|---|---|---|
Moneyline | Arkansas Razorbacks: -160, Tennessee Volunteers: 124 | Arkansas Razorbacks win | ★★★☆☆ 65% |
Spread | Arkansas Razorbacks -1.5: -110, Tennessee Volunteers +1.5: -110 | Arkansas Razorbacks to cover -1.5 runs | ★★★☆☆ 58% |
Over/under | Over 7.5 runs: -105, Under 7.5 runs: -115 | Under 7.5 runs | ★★★☆☆ 60% |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
Market | EV Pick |
---|---|
Moneyline | Arkansas Razorbacks 1% |
Spread | N/A |
Over/Under | N/A |
🔥 Best Value Pick: Arkansas Razorbacks at 1% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 1.2% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Given the home advantage and strong season form, Arkansas Razorbacks are slight favorites but the Tennessee Volunteers’ championship pedigree and balanced team performance predict a tightly contested game.
Predicted Score: Arkansas Razorbacks 4 – Tennessee Volunteers 3