Match Analysis: Arkansas-Little Rock Trojans vs Dallas Baptist Patriots – Prediction
Match Details
- Date: 2025-06-01
- Time: 7:00 PM UTC
- Location: Baton Rouge Regional (Alex Box Stadium), Louisiana
Game Overview
The NCAA Baseball Regional matchup between Arkansas-Little Rock Trojans and Dallas Baptist Patriots is set for June 1, 2025, at 7 PM UTC. Arkansas-Little Rock recently recorded a historic win, blasting Rhode Island 22-10 in their elimination game, showcasing their offensive power. Dallas Baptist enters with strong form, having comfortably won recent games and beating Rhode Island to advance. Dallas Baptist is favored heavily by bookmakers, indicating they are seen as the stronger team overall.
Key Factors to Consider
- Arkansas-Little Rock showed explosive offense in their latest game but are generally underdogs compared to Dallas Baptist, who have a solid record and have demonstrated consistent pitching and hitting this season. Dallas Baptist has performed well against quality opponents and managed wins with significant margins, reflecting balanced team performance.
- No exact recent head-to-head statistical data is available, but the current form and odds imply Dallas Baptist has a clear edge in this matchup.
- No specific injury reports or player absences have been noted for either team ahead of this game.
- The game is played at the neutral Baton Rouge venue during the NCAA Regional stage, meaning no traditional home advantage. The conditions favor teams that can handle pressure and maintain consistency.
- Arkansas-Little Rock is motivated by recent historic success and the opportunity to advance, while Dallas Baptist aims to maintain dominance and secure a win as favorites, likely boosting their confidence and focus.
Odds and Predictions
| Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | Arkansas-Little Rock Trojans: 850, Dallas Baptist Patriots: -1750 | Dallas Baptist Patriots | β β β β β 85% |
| Spread | Arkansas-Little Rock Trojans: 6.5 -120, Dallas Baptist Patriots: -6.5 -110 | Dallas Baptist Patriots to cover -6.5 | β β β β β 80% |
| Over/under | Over: 15 -115, Under: 15 -115 | Under 15 runs | β β β ββ 60% |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
| Market | EV Pick |
|---|---|
| Moneyline | Dallas Baptist Patriots -10% |
| Spread | N/A |
| Over/Under | Under 15 12% |
π₯ Best Value Pick: Under 15 at 12% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 14% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Dallas Baptist Patriots are likely to win due to their strong season performance, balanced pitching and hitting, and favorable odds, despite Arkansas-Little Rock's recent offensive outburst.
Predicted Score: Dallas Baptist Patriots 9 – Arkansas-Little Rock Trojans 3