Match Analysis: Wisconsin Badgers vs Washington Huskies – Prediction
Match Details
- Date: Saturday, November 8, 2025
- Time: 9:30 PM UTC
- Location: Camp Randall Stadium, Madison, Wisconsin
Game Overview
The No. 24 Washington Huskies (6-2, 3-2 Big Ten) visit the Wisconsin Badgers (2-6, 0-5 Big Ten) in a Big Ten cross-division matchup. Washington is riding a strong season and is favored by double digits on the road, while Wisconsin is winless in conference play and looks to pull off a major upset at home[1][3].
Key Factors to Consider
- Washington ranks 31st nationally in scoring (35.5 ppg) and boasts a strong rushing defense (19th in FBS). Wisconsin, while struggling offensively, also features a solid rush defense (25th)[1]. Both teams are tough against the run, so the game could hinge on Washington's passing attack (27th nationally) versus a middle-of-the-pack Wisconsin pass defense.
- No recent head-to-head data is immediately available, but this is not a traditional Big Ten rivalry; Washington is in its inaugural Big Ten season.
- No significant injury updates are available in the search results. Injuries to key playersโespecially at quarterback or in the secondaryโcould swing the outcome.
- A November night game in Madison could bring chilly conditions, potentially affecting passing games and favoring running attacks if weather deteriorates. Camp Randall Stadium is a hostile environment, but Wisconsin's current struggles may mute home-field advantage.
- Washington is chasing a Big Ten West title and potential ranked finish, while Wisconsin is fighting to avoid further embarrassment and build momentum for next season.
Odds and Predictions
| Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | Huskies -460, Badgers +360 | Washington Huskies moneyline | โ โ โ โ โ 85% |
| Spread | Huskies -11.5 -106, Badgers +11.5 -114 | Washington Huskies cover (win by more than 11.5 points) | โ โ โ โโ 68% |
| Over/under | Over 44.5 -110, Under 44.5 -110 | Under 44.5 | โ โ โ โโ 53% |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
| Market | EV Pick |
|---|---|
| Moneyline | Washington Huskies -3% |
| Spread | N/A |
| Over/Under | Under 44.5 1% |
๐ฅ Best Value Pick: Under 44.5 at 1% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 1.3% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Washington is the clear favorite based on performance, momentum, and talent disparities. Expect the Huskies to control the tempo with their balanced offense and defense, but Wisconsin's stout run defense could keep this closer than expected, especially if the Badgers win the turnover battle or get a special teams spark.
Predicted Score: Washington Huskies 27, Wisconsin Badgers 17