Match Analysis: Wisconsin Badgers vs Miami (OH) RedHawks - Prediction
Match Details
- Date: 2025-08-28
- Time: 1:00 AM UTC
- Location: Camp Randall Stadium, Madison, Wisconsin
Game Overview
Wisconsin Badgers host Miami (OH) RedHawks in the season opener. Wisconsin is a heavy favorite with a 17.5-point spread, yet Miami (OH) comes off a strong recent history including a 9-5 record last season and a MAC championship appearance. Total points are set at a relatively low 39.5, indicating expectations of a defensive, lower-scoring affair.
Key Factors to Consider
- Wisconsin finished 5-7 last season with below-average scoring (22.6 PPG) and decent defense (23.1 PPG allowed). Miami (OH) completed a 9-5 campaign and won the Arizona Bowl, scoring 24.1 PPG and allowing only 18.8 PPG, showing a stronger defense and slight offensive edge.
- Recent head-to-head data is limited, but given Miami (OH)'s strong MAC performance against comparable competition and Wisconsin's struggles, Miami has a credible chance to perform competitively against a stronger conference opponent.
- No specific injury data reported for either team at this time.
- The game is at Wisconsin's home field, Camp Randall Stadium, a significant advantage. Wisconsin's large favorite status is reflected in heavy moneyline and spread odds.
- As season openers, both teams aim to set a positive tone. Miami (OH) seeks to prove itself against Big Ten opposition, while Wisconsin aims to recover from a lackluster previous year.
Odds and Predictions
Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
---|---|---|---|
Moneyline | home: -900, away: +600 | Wisconsin Badgers | β β β β β 85% |
Spread | home: -108, away: -112, line: 17.5 | Miami (OH) +17.5 | β β β ββ 60% |
Over/under | over: -112, under: -108, total: 39.5 | Under 39.5 | β β β β β 75% |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
Market | EV Pick |
---|---|
Moneyline | Wisconsin Badgers 0% |
Spread | N/A |
Over/Under | Under 39.5 35% |
π₯ Best Value Pick: Under 39.5 at 35% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 37.6% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Bet on Wisconsin Badgers moneyline for a secure win; expect the game to stay under 39.5 total points; however, due to the large spread and Miami's solid defense, avoid the spread bet.
Predicted Score: Wisconsin 24 - Miami (OH) 14
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