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Western Kentucky Hilltoppers vs. Sam Houston State Bearkats Prediction NCAAF in American Football

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Match Analysis: Western Kentucky Hilltoppers vs Sam Houston State Bearkats - Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-08-23
  • Time: 11:00 PM UTC
  • Location: Houchens Industries-L.T. Smith Stadium, Bowling Green, Kentucky

Game Overview

Western Kentucky Hilltoppers host the Sam Houston State Bearkats in the season opener for both, with Western Kentucky favored by 10.5 points and an over/under set at 61.5 points. The Hilltoppers bring a potent offense led by transfer QB Maverick McIvor, while Sam Houston transitions under new head coach Phil Longo aiming to implement an up-tempo offense.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Western Kentucky went 8-6 last season with a middling offense averaging 24.9 PPG and weaker defense allowing 24.6 PPG. Sam Houston finished 10-3 with a top-25 nationally ranked defense but now under a new coaching staff expected to shift toward a faster-paced offense.
  • No recent head-to-head data available, but both teams are in Conference USA and this game sets an early tone for the league race.
  • No major injuries reported for either side prior to this opening game, but Western Kentucky lost key defensive players from last season impacting their defensive reliability.
  • Western Kentucky plays at home, a notable advantage. Sam Houston plays with new coaching staff and off-campus for stadium renovations, potentially affecting familiarity.
  • Both teams eager to start strong; Sam Houston under new leadership to prove last season's success was no fluke, Western Kentucky aims to capitalize on offseason transfers and maintain tradition.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline home: -410, away: +320 Western Kentucky ★★★★☆ 75%
Spread home: -108, away: -112 Western Kentucky -10.5 ★★★★☆ 70%
Over/under over: -110, under: -110 Over 61.5 ★★★☆☆ 68%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Western Kentucky Hilltoppers -8%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Over 61.5 15%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Over 61.5 at 15% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 16% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Western Kentucky to win straight up with a strong offensive performance pushing the game total over 61.5 points.

Predicted Score: Western Kentucky 38 - Sam Houston State 26

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Western Kentucky Hilltoppers vs. Sam Houston State Bearkats Prediction

Match Analysis: Western Kentucky Hilltoppers vs Sam Houston State Bearkats – Prediction Match Details Date: 2025-08-23 Time: 11:00 PM UTC Location: Houchens Industries-L.T. Smith Stadium, Bowling Green, Kentucky Game Overview Western Kentucky Hilltoppers host the Sam Houston State Bearkats in the season opener for both, with Western Kentucky favored by 10.5 points and an over/under […]

American Football August 23, 2025 Sam Houston State Bearkats Western Kentucky Hilltoppers

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Ottawa Redblacks vs. Edmonton Elks Prediction CFL in American Football

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Match Analysis: Ottawa Redblacks vs Edmonton Elks – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-08-22
  • Time: 11:30 PM UTC
  • Location: TD Place Stadium, Ottawa

Game Overview

A crucial CFL matchup sees the Edmonton Elks visiting the Ottawa Redblacks. Both teams have struggled this season, with Ottawa at 3-7 and Edmonton slightly better but still under .500. The game is expected to be competitive with a moderately high scoring projection.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Ottawa Redblacks are 3-7 with recent form showing marginal improvement but remain inconsistent. Edmonton Elks are 3-6, showing slightly better performance and more balanced offense and defense metrics.
  • Recent H2H matchups favor Edmonton slightly; they often manage narrow wins and have edged Ottawa in scoring margins recently.
  • No critical injuries reported for either side likely to impact key starters; both teams appear close to full strength maintaining typical roster consistency.
  • Game played at Ottawa's home venue TD Place Stadium, which tends to provide Ottawa a moderate home-field advantage but Edmonton has previously performed decently in away games here.
  • Ottawa is motivated to improve their standings and capitalize on home ground; Edmonton seeks to maintain momentum to climb standings, adding competitive edge from both sides.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Edmonton: -172, Ottawa: +142 Edmonton Elks ★★★★☆ 70%
Spread Edmonton: -3 -122, Ottawa: +3 +100 Edmonton Elks -3 ★★★☆☆ 60%
Over/under Over: 53.5 -110, Under: 53.5 -110 Over 53.5 ★★★☆☆ 65%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Edmonton Elks 3%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Over 53.5 15%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Over 53.5 at 15% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 16% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Edmonton Elks to win outright due to better recent form, slightly stronger H2H, and more balanced team performance.

Predicted Score: Edmonton Elks 28 – Ottawa Redblacks 23


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Montreal Alouettes vs. Winnipeg Blue Bombers Prediction CFL in American Football

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Match Analysis: Montreal Alouettes vs Winnipeg Blue Bombers – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-08-21
  • Time: 11:30 PM UTC
  • Location: Percival Molson Memorial Stadium, Montreal, Quebec

Game Overview

A closely matched CFL contest between Montreal Alouettes and Winnipeg Blue Bombers, both with near .500 records and recent mixed form, competing at Montreal’s home field under favorable weather conditions.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Montreal holds a slight edge with a 5-4 record compared to Winnipeg's 4-4. Montreal averages 24.5 points per game with slightly better defense (23.9 PA/G) than Winnipeg (28.1 PA/G). Recent form shows both teams trading wins and losses, but Montreal has narrowly lost or won most recent games indicating competitive resilience.
  • Recent H2H data indicates tight contests, with marginal win probabilities (Montreal 54.1% vs Winnipeg 45.9%) and close projected points (Montreal 24.7, Winnipeg 23.0) showing parity between teams.
  • No significant injury reports affecting key starters have been identified, implying each team should be near full-strength.
  • Playing at Montreal’s Percival Molson Memorial Stadium with mostly clear skies, mild 71°F temperature, and light 3 mph wind presents neutral external conditions, unlikely to affect gameplay or scoring substantially.
  • Montreal’s slightly better standing and home advantage provide motivation to maintain momentum, while Winnipeg is motivated to overcome the spread and assert dominance away from home, creating an evenly matched motivation dynamic.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Montreal Alouettes: +168, Winnipeg Blue Bombers: -205 Winnipeg Blue Bombers ★★★☆☆ 68%
Spread Montreal Alouettes +4.5: -110, Winnipeg Blue Bombers -4.5: -110 Winnipeg Blue Bombers -4.5 ★★★☆☆ 64%
Over/under Over 48.5: -105, Under 48.5: -115 Under 48.5 ★★★☆☆ 62%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Winnipeg Blue Bombers -14%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Under 48.5 14%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Under 48.5 at 14% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 16.2% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Winnipeg Blue Bombers to win straight up, covering the 4.5 point spread, with the game total going under 48.5 points.

Predicted Score: Winnipeg Blue Bombers 26, Montreal Alouettes 20


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BC Lions vs. Montreal Alouettes Prediction CFL in American Football

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Match Analysis: BC Lions vs Montreal Alouettes – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-08-16
  • Time: 11:00 PM UTC
  • Location: BC Place, Vancouver, BC

Game Overview

The BC Lions (4-5) host the Montreal Alouettes (5-4) in a close CFL matchup. BC Lions are slight favorites with a moneyline of -300 and a spread of -6.5 points. The Over/Under is set at 51.5 points.

Key Factors to Consider

  • BC Lions have a 4-5 record with mixed performance offensively and defensively, showing inconsistency and leaving doubts about defense. Montreal Alouettes are 5-4 and recently lost a close game 23-22. Both teams have similar ATS records (4-5).
  • Recent H2H shows BC Lions have a slight edge but matches tend to be close, with both teams capable of covering spreads.
  • No major injury reports given, but Montreal’s quarterback situation is described as less than ideal, contributing to their offensive uncertainty.
  • Game played at BC Place in Vancouver gives BC Lions home-field advantage. Broadcast on TSN increases visibility and motivation.
  • Montreal seeks to rebound from a narrow loss, while BC aims to solidify their standing with a home win.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline BC Lions: -300, Montreal Alouettes: 240 BC Lions ★★★☆☆ 65%
Spread BC Lions -6.5: -118, Montreal Alouettes +6.5: -104 Montreal Alouettes +6.5 ★★★☆☆ 60%
Over/under Over 51.5: -105, Under 51.5: -115 Over 51.5 ★★★☆☆ 58%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline BC Lions -17%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Over 51.5 7%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Over 51.5 at 7% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 7.8% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Moneyline: BC Lions win; Spread: Montreal Alouettes +6.5 covers; Over/Under: Over 51.5 points

Predicted Score: BC Lions 30 – Montreal Alouettes 26


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Saskatchewan Roughriders vs. Hamilton Tiger-Cats Prediction CFL in American Football

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Match Analysis: Saskatchewan Roughriders vs Hamilton Tiger-Cats – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-08-16
  • Time: 7:00 PM UTC
  • Location: Mosaic Stadium, Regina, SK

Game Overview

The Saskatchewan Roughriders, holding a strong 7-1 record and top-tier defense, host the 6-3 Hamilton Tiger-Cats, who possess one of the CFL's most explosive offenses. Both teams showcase high-level quarterback play with Bo Levi Mitchell leading the league in passing yards and touchdowns, while Trevor Harris presents consistent efficiency. The matchup is a critical divisional clash with playoff and Grey Cup implications.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Saskatchewan is dominant with a 7-1 record, having won three straight before their bye, and a top-ranked defense. Hamilton is 6-3 with an explosive offense but recently lost a high-scoring game (41-38) to BC Lions.
  • Recent meetings have been competitive; Hamilton's offensive firepower meets Saskatchewan's stout defense. Historically balanced but favors home advantage.
  • No significant injury news reported for either starting quarterbacks or key offensive players, suggesting both teams are near full strength.
  • Playing at Mosaic Stadium, Saskatchewan benefits from home crowd and familiar conditions; weather expected to be typical for August in Regina with no severe disruptions.
  • Saskatchewan seeks to maintain West Division dominance post-bye; Hamilton aims to rebound from last week's loss and solidify East Division leadership.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Hamilton Tiger-Cats +142 / Saskatchewan Roughriders -172 Saskatchewan Roughriders ★★★★☆ 78%
Spread Hamilton Tiger-Cats +3.5 -115 / Saskatchewan Roughriders -3.5 -105 Saskatchewan Roughriders -3.5 ★★★★☆ 70%
Over/under Over 53.5 -118 / Under 53.5 -104 Over 53.5 ★★★☆☆ 65%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Saskatchewan Roughriders -2%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Over 53.5 11%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Over 53.5 at 11% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 12.8% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Saskatchewan Roughriders moneyline win, cover the -3.5 spread, and the total score will go over 53.5 points.

Predicted Score: Saskatchewan Roughriders 31 – Hamilton Tiger-Cats 24


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Edmonton Elks vs. Toronto Argonauts Prediction CFL in American Football

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Match Analysis: Edmonton Elks vs Toronto Argonauts – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-08-16
  • Time: 1:00 AM UTC
  • Location: Commonwealth Stadium, Edmonton, AB

Game Overview

The Edmonton Elks (2-6) host the Toronto Argonauts (2-7) in a CFL matchup where Edmonton is a slight favorite at home. Toronto showed offensive firepower recently despite their poor record, losing narrowly 46-42 in their last game. Both teams struggle defensively, suggesting a potentially high-scoring game.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Edmonton has a 2-6 record with modest recent form and slight home advantage. Toronto is 2-7 but has demonstrated offensive potency, with QB Nick Arbuckle posting strong recent performances. Both teams concede over 30 points on average.
  • Recent H2H matchups favor Edmonton narrowly with home advantage but Toronto's close competitive games indicate volatility.
  • No significant injuries reported to starting QBs; depth may be a concern but not a decisive factor currently.
  • Game played at Edmonton’s Commonwealth Stadium, providing home field edge. Weather and other factors are typical for August with no major impact expected.
  • Both teams are struggling this season, but Edmonton has slightly more motivation to defend home turf to improve playoff chances, while Toronto aims to upset and gain momentum.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Edmonton: -152, Toronto: 126 Edmonton Elks ★★★☆☆ 68%
Spread Edmonton: -2.5 (-120), Toronto: +2.5 (-102) Edmonton Elks -2.5 ★★★☆☆ 63%
Over/under Over: -110, Under: -110 Over 53.5 ★★★★☆ 70%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Edmonton Elks -1%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Over 53.5 24%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Over 53.5 at 24% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 26.5% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Moneyline: Edmonton Elks win. Spread: Edmonton Elks -2.5. Over/Under: Over 53.5 points.

Predicted Score: Edmonton Elks 30 – Toronto Argonauts 24


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Winnipeg Blue Bombers vs. Ottawa Redblacks Prediction CFL in American Football

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Match Analysis: Winnipeg Blue Bombers vs Ottawa Redblacks – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-08-15
  • Time: 12:30 AM UTC
  • Location: Princess Auto Stadium

Game Overview

The Winnipeg Blue Bombers host the Ottawa Redblacks in a key Week 11 CFL matchup. Winnipeg has struggled recently, losing 4 of their last 5 games, but remains stronger overall compared to the Redblacks who have a losing record. Both teams are motivated to improve playoff positioning. Odds favor Winnipeg strongly on the moneyline and spread. The total points line is set at a moderately high 51.5.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Winnipeg is 4-4, on a downtrend with four losses in five games, struggling particularly on defense but with an offense expected to rebound. Ottawa has a poorer record (3-6), showing inconsistency and less firepower.
  • Recent head-to-head results favor Winnipeg, who have been more consistent winners. Previous matchups show Winnipeg's capacity to cover spreads against Ottawa.
  • Winnipeg may be vulnerable in defense due to recent injuries on key defenders (e.g., DT Jaylon Hutchings and DB Adrian Greene questionable). Ottawa's injury report is less impactful.
  • Winnipeg benefits from playing at home at Princess Auto Stadium with a supportive crowd. Weather and field conditions are normal for the season timeframe.
  • Winnipeg is motivated to avoid further losing streaks and solidify playoff position; Ottawa aims to disrupt but has less momentum.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Winnipeg -245, Ottawa +198 Winnipeg Blue Bombers ★★★★☆ 78%
Spread Winnipeg -5.5 (-115), Ottawa +5.5 (-105) Winnipeg Blue Bombers -5.5 ★★★★☆ 72%
Over/under Over 51.5 (-110), Under 51.5 (-110) Over 51.5 ★★★☆☆ 65%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Winnipeg Blue Bombers -1%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Over 51.5 15%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Over 51.5 at 15% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 16% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Winnipeg Blue Bombers to win outright, cover the spread, with the total going over 51.5 points.

Predicted Score: Winnipeg Blue Bombers 33 – Ottawa Redblacks 20


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Calgary Stampeders vs. Winnipeg Blue Bombers Prediction CFL in American Football

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Match Analysis: Calgary Stampeders vs Winnipeg Blue Bombers – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-08-09
  • Time: 11:00 PM UTC
  • Location: McMahon Stadium, Calgary, AB

Game Overview

Calgary Stampeders host Winnipeg Blue Bombers in a CFL matchup where both teams have similar records (Calgary 5-3, Winnipeg 4-3). Both starting quarterbacks, Vernon Adams Jr. and Zach Collaros, are expected to play, promising a competitive and quality game. Calgary is favored by about 4.5 points with the total set near 51.5 points.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Calgary has been strong this season with a 5-3 record and home advantage. Winnipeg has been solid as well but struggled in a recent road game and is seeking revenge after a previous narrow loss to Calgary.
  • Calgary won the recent matchup at McMahon Stadium despite Winnipeg's statistical advantages in first downs and yardage. Winnipeg is historically strong at home with a dominant home record but must adjust playing in Calgary.
  • Both teams are expected to have their starting quarterbacks back, improving offensive efficiency. No major injuries reported affecting the key positions.
  • Game played in Calgary, favoring the Stampeders. Weather and other external factors have no notable impact expected.
  • Winnipeg motivated by revenge after a recent loss and will aim for a bounce-back performance. Calgary wants to maintain momentum at home and redeem their last poor showing against Ottawa.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Calgary -220, Winnipeg +180 Calgary Stampeders ★★★★☆ 75%
Spread Calgary -4.5 (-115), Winnipeg +4.5 (-105) Calgary Stampeders -4.5 ★★★★☆ 70%
Over/under Over 51.5 (-105), Under 51.5 (-115) Over 51.5 ★★★☆☆ 60%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Calgary Stampeders -5%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Over 51.5 13%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Over 51.5 at 13% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 13.9% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Calgary Stampeders to win moneyline and cover the spread; the total score is expected to go over 51.5 points

Predicted Score: Calgary Stampeders 28 – Winnipeg Blue Bombers 21


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Toronto Argonauts vs. Ottawa Redblacks Prediction CFL in American Football

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Match Analysis: Toronto Argonauts vs Ottawa Redblacks – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-08-09
  • Time: 7:00 PM UTC
  • Location: BMO Field, Toronto, ON

Game Overview

The matchup features the Toronto Argonauts hosting the Ottawa Redblacks, both teams holding identical 2-6 records in the East Division. The game is crucial for both who are positioned at the bottom of the standings. Ottawa comes off a bye week and a recent win that snapped a losing streak, while Toronto tries to leverage home-field advantage and a slightly more consistent offense under backup QB Nick Arbuckle.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Both teams have struggled this season with 2-6 records. Toronto is slightly favored in power rankings due to more consistent offensive execution. Ottawa’s recent form improved with a convincing 31-11 win over Calgary, showing a competent ground and aerial attack led by Dru Brown. Toronto’s offense features Nick Arbuckle, second in passing yards but with the league's most interceptions, reflecting some inconsistency.
  • Earlier season meeting won by Toronto with notable special teams contributions including two return touchdowns. Dru Brown did not start for Ottawa in that game, impacting performance comparison. Historical results suggest Toronto's greater stability, but the Redblacks have the potential to keep it close.
  • Ottawa's starting QB Dru Brown recently returned from injury and is now healthy. Toronto’s usual QB Chad Kelly is out, with Arbuckle starting, which carries the risk of turnovers given his interception stats.
  • Toronto hosts at BMO Field, providing home crowd advantage. Ottawa had a bye last week, which may aid their physical readiness. Special teams played a big role in the prior encounter, though repeating special teams touchdowns is improbable.
  • Both teams are desperate to improve their poor records. Ottawa’s confidence should be bolstered by last week’s win and bye week rest. Toronto aims to exact revenge and capitalize on home field, with motivation to avoid falling further behind in standings.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Ottawa +140, Toronto -170 Toronto Argonauts ★★★★☆ 75%
Spread Ottawa +3.5 -115, Toronto -3.5 -105 Toronto Argonauts -3.5 ★★★★☆ 70%
Over/under Over 52.5 -115, Under 52.5 -105 Under 52.5 ★★★☆☆ 65%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Toronto Argonauts -3%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Under 52.5 17%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Under 52.5 at 17% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 18% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Toronto Argonauts to win straight up, cover the -3.5 spread, with the game finishing under 52.5 total points.

Predicted Score: Toronto Argonauts 24 – Ottawa Redblacks 17


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Montreal Alouettes vs. Edmonton Elks Prediction CFL in American Football

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Match Analysis: Montreal Alouettes vs Edmonton Elks – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-08-08
  • Time: 11:30 PM UTC
  • Location: Montreal Alouettes Home Stadium

Game Overview

The Montreal Alouettes host the Edmonton Elks in a CFL matchup where Montreal is a clear favorite based on recent performance and statistical trends.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Montreal Alouettes have shown strong form with a projected points per game around 29.5 and a defensive ranking better than Edmonton’s. Edmonton Elks struggle offensively, averaging only 22.7 points per game while allowing 31.8 points, ranking near the bottom of the league.
  • Recent head-to-head matchups favor Montreal decisively: their projected win percentage is over 75% against Edmonton in recent contests reflecting Edmonton's historically poor results here.
  • No critical injuries reported for Montreal; Edmonton has some key offensive players questionable, further weakening their already anemic scoring ability.
  • Game played at Montreal’s home stadium, favoring the Alouettes. Travel and weather conditions are standard and unlikely to impact play significantly.
  • Montreal is looking to solidify playoff positioning and maintain momentum, while Edmonton is currently rebuilding and has little playoff hope, lowering motivation.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Montreal -200, Edmonton +164 Montreal Alouettes ★★★★☆ 78%
Spread Montreal -4.5 (-105), Edmonton +4.5 (-115) Montreal Alouettes -4.5 ★★★★☆ 72%
Over/under Over 51.5 (-110), Under 51.5 (-110) Under 51.5 ★★★☆☆ 65%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Montreal Alouettes -1%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Under 51.5 24%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Under 51.5 at 24% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 26.5% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Montreal Alouettes to win outright; Cover the -4.5 point spread; Total score Under 51.5 points

Predicted Score: Montreal Alouettes 30 – Edmonton Elks 20


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