Match Analysis: Western Kentucky Hilltoppers vs New Mexico State Aggies – Prediction
Match Details
- Date: November 1, 2025
- Time: 7:30 PM UTC
- Location: Houchens Industries-L.T. Smith Stadium, Bowling Green, Kentucky
Game Overview
The Western Kentucky Hilltoppers, with a record of 6-2, host the New Mexico State Aggies, who are 3-4, in a Conference USA matchup. Western Kentucky is favored, reflecting their stronger performance this season.
Key Factors to Consider
- Western Kentucky has shown consistent performance, while New Mexico State has struggled more. Western Kentucky's offense averages 29.5 points per game, while their defense allows 23.6 points.
- Historically, New Mexico State has been 2-0 ATS in their last two meetings with Western Kentucky, but recent trends favor Western Kentucky.
- No significant injury reports are available for this matchup.
- The game is at Western Kentucky's home stadium, which could provide an advantage.
- Both teams are motivated, but Western Kentucky's stronger record and home advantage might give them an edge.
Odds and Predictions
| Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | Western Kentucky -310, New Mexico State +250 | Western Kentucky to win | โ โ โ โ โ 75% |
| Spread | Western Kentucky -9.5 (-108), New Mexico State +9.5 (-112) | Western Kentucky to cover | โ โ โ โโ 60% |
| Over/under | Over 52.5 (-112), Under 52.5 (-108) | Over | โ โ โ โโ 55% |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
| Market | EV Pick |
|---|---|
| Moneyline | Western Kentucky Hilltoppers 170% |
| Spread | N/A |
| Over/Under | Over 52.5 -1% |
๐ฅ Best Value Pick: Western Kentucky Hilltoppers at 170% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 68.1% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Western Kentucky is likely to win based on their current form and home advantage.
Predicted Score: Western Kentucky 31, New Mexico State 20